ASSESSMENTS

Russia Would Face Complications in Odessa

May 7, 2014 | 09:24 GMT

Russia Would Face Complications in Odessa
Pro-Russian militants clash with police as they storm the police station in the southern Ukrainian city of Odessa on May 4 to free pro-Russian activists arrested May 2.

DMITRY SEREBRYAKOV/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Eastern Ukraine has been the scene of severe unrest facilitated, or at least encouraged, by Russia. In recent days, this unrest manifested in Odessa, a critical port located in southern Ukraine west of Crimea. Odessa marks the southwestern edge of at least some pro-Russia sentiment, though the city is considerably different from the eastern regions

Odessa, whose historical significance resonates deeply in Russia and whose port is vital to Ukraine's economic livelihood, could be exploited by Moscow as the Russians look for opportunities to cripple Kiev. Pro-Russia groups in Odessa currently lack the same level of organization and skill displayed by separatists in eastern Ukraine, which means that Russia will have to make a substantial investment and carry more risk if it decides to systematically destabilize the port city. 

Fomenting unrest in the port city would not be as easy as supporting pro-Russia groups in eastern Ukraine....

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