GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES

Saudi Arabia Makes a Strategic Miscalculation

Nov 10, 2017 | 10:15 GMT

Saudi troops guard the Yemeni border with Jizan province in October 2017.

More than two and a half years in, Saudi Arabia's goals for its air campaign in Yemen look increasingly unrealistic.

(FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • After more than two and a half years of waging an aggressive air campaign against Yemen's Houthi rebels, Saudi Arabia is no closer to reaching its goals in the conflict.
  • Other members of the Saudi-led coalition limited their involvement in the operations in Yemen because they had less at stake in the fight than Riyadh did.
  • To end Saudi Arabia's military involvement in the war-torn state, Saudi Defense Minister Mohammed bin Salman will have to first break with the kingdom's legacy of using force, rather than diplomacy, to pursue its objectives.

Saudi Arabia seems to have bitten off more than it can chew in Yemen. On March 26, 2015, the kingdom launched Operation Decisive Storm, a broad Arab-Islamic initiative ostensibly aimed at reinstating the government of Yemeni President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi, whom insurgents had forced from the capital, Sanaa, a month earlier. More than two and a half years on, Saudi Arabia is no closer to its goal, embroiled in a war that it can't win. How did the country wind up making such a strategic blunder? Going into the conflict, its leaders were well aware of the steep odds against the operation's success -- of Yemen's unconquerable terrain and intractable tribal machinations. The Saudis tend to equivocate in their explanations of what drove them to intervene in the war-torn country in the first place. But a look at the kingdom's history and founding ideology offers insight into Riyadh's dilemma in...

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