ASSESSMENTS

Serbia Will Be Caught Up in Russia-West Standoff

Mar 17, 2014 | 18:57 GMT

Serbia Will Be Caught Up in Russia-West Standoff
Serbian Progressive Party leader Aleksandar Vucic casts his ballot in Belgrade on March 16.

(ANDREJ ISAKOVIC/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Serbia will soon have a new party leading its government, but there will not be any drastic changes to its policies or improvements in its chances of joining the European Union. Serbia's continued refusal to recognize Kosovo's independence and the new party's efforts to consolidate power will not sit well with Brussels. At the same time, larger issues such as the standoff between Russia and the West and Europe's own structural crisis will add uncertainty to Belgrade's bid for EU membership. Before the new government's term expires, Serbia will probably be less interested in joining the European Union.

Interest in joining the European Union will likely wane over time as Serbia's new government tries to consolidate its power....

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