ASSESSMENTS
Somalia's Thorny Problems on the Horn of Africa
Nov 26, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
![Porters carry goods offloaded from foreign ships docked at the harbor in Mogadishu on April 24, 2013. In Mogadishu's economic heart, Bakara market -- where a U.S. helicopter was shot down in 1993 in scenes made famous by the Hollywood film "Black Hawk Down" -- the scars of frontline fighting that raged less than two years ago have faded. Somalia, once a byword for war and anarchy, appears to be slowly turning a corner, with Islamist forces on the back foot despite launching a series of bloody guerrilla atta](https://worldview.stratfor.com/sites/default/files/styles/2x1_full/public/somalia-update-display-gettyimages-167949351.jpg?itok=GkQ_ZxFr)
Porters carry goods offloaded from foreign ships docked at the harbor in Mogadishu on April 24, 2013. In Mogadishu's economic heart, Bakara market -- where a U.S. helicopter was shot down in 1993 in scenes made famous by the Hollywood film "Black Hawk Down" -- the scars of frontline fighting that raged less than two years ago have faded. Somalia, once a byword for war and anarchy, appears to be slowly turning a corner, with Islamist forces on the back foot despite launching a series of bloody guerrilla attacks.
(TONY KARUMBA/AFP/Getty Images)
Highlights
- Renewed relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea will boost stability in the Horn of Africa and create opportunities for greater political and economic integration in the region.
- Somalia's deep internal problems will severely limit the country's ability to take charge of security within its borders.
- Somalia's enduring challenges mean that the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) will remain a key force in the country for years to come in some form.
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