South African President Cyril Ramaphosa will likely attempt to delay his upcoming impeachment process to facilitate the rise of a reformist successor within his African National Congress; but in a less likely, higher-impact scenario, Ramaphosa may still preemptively resign, which would likely collapse the country's coalition government. On May 8, South Africa's Constitutional Court nullified the National Assembly's December 2022 vote shielding President Ramaphosa from an impeachment investigation surrounding a political scandal, known as the Phala Phala scandal, and ordered that the report of an investigative panel now be referred to an impeachment committee within parliament. In response, the populist uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party, led by former President Jacob Zuma, and the smaller African Transition Movement party filed motions of no confidence against Ramaphosa on May 9. As for the center-right Democratic Alliance, the second-largest party in South Africa's coalition government, it said that it would "not prejudge the outcome"...
