ASSESSMENTS

In South Sudan, Both Sides Seek an Advantage Before Any Possible Cease-Fire

Jan 18, 2014 | 12:00 GMT

In South Sudan, Both Sides Seek an Advantage Before Any Possible Cease-Fire
A South Sudanese policeman in the southern state of Western Equatoria on Jan. 14.

(PHIL MOORE/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

In the absence of a cease-fire between the South Sudanese government and rebel representatives who are currently meeting in Addis Ababa, both sides continue to maneuver on the battlefield. In addition to tribal violence throughout the country, larger military confrontations are ongoing in Bor, Malakal and Bentiu. However, there is no direct threat to the oil-producing region of Upper Nile state or to the capital, Juba. Should a cease-fire be achieved, it would still not make negotiations over the conflict's underlying causes much easier. 

Oil production in the most critical region has gone unabated despite continued fighting. ...

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