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Southern Europe’s COVID-19 Crisis Is Just Beginning

Adriano Bosoni
Senior Europe Analyst, Stratfor
Apr 13, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
A man wearing a protective mask walks in the empty square in front of a cathedral in Locri, Italy, on April 7, 2020.

A man wearing a surgical mask walks in an empty square in front of a cathedral in Locri, Italy, on April 7, 2020. As of April 10, Italy had reported 143,626 COVID-19 cases with 28,470 deaths. 

(GIANLUCA CHININEA/AFP via Getty Images)

For many governments in Southern Europe, containing the COVID-19 contagion in the coming weeks may prove to be the easy part. After the immediate health crisis subsides in the region, much bigger economic and political troubles will quickly follow in the second half of the year. Countries including France, Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal will experience deep recessions and severe fiscal problems, which in some cases will be made worse by the return of political instability and the strengthening of nationalist opposition parties. ...

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