ASSESSMENTS
Space: The Increasingly Crowded Frontier
Mar 25, 2016 | 09:15 GMT
(ALEXANDER GERST/ESA via Getty Images)
Forecast Highlights
- New powers will take to space as costs go down and the military and economic importance of space grows.
- Iran, Japan, South Korea, North Korea and India will continue to advance their programs. Turkey, Brazil, Argentina and others will eventually initiate their own space programs.
- As countries become increasingly reliant on space systems, they will pursue their own launch capabilities, no longer wishing to rely on traditional space powers for access.
- Commercial motivations will outpace military applications, meaning space missions will be less dependent on military expenditures to be economically viable.
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