Assessments

Special Report: Mexico's Cartels Will Continue to Erode in 2016

Jan 25, 2016 | 09:15 GMT
Los Zetas leader Omar "Z-42" Trevino Morales is taken into custody in Mexico City on March 4, 2015.
(OMAR TORRES/AFP/Getty Images)

Mexican authorities have recaptured Sinaloa cartel leader Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman Loera, and the media have had a field day, but, as with his escape, Mexico's cartel landscape remains pretty much unchanged. Fissures and infighting among drug cartels are redefining the drug trade -- and the fight against it. As indicated in our 2015 Cartel Annual update, Stratfor categorizes Mexican organized criminal groups by the distinct geographic areas from which they emerged, and it is clear that the trajectories of Mexico's three regional organized crime umbrellas -- Sinaloa state, Tamaulipas state and Tierra Caliente -- are set: All will continue their decentralization and division in 2016....

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