ASSESSMENTS

In Syria, a Bleak Future for an al Qaeda Front Group

Jan 6, 2014 | 15:55 GMT

In Syria, a Bleak Future for an al Qaeda Front Group
An Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant fighter urges people to join the group in Aleppo, Syria, in November 2013.

(MAHMUD AL-HALABI/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Although the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant is ramping up its campaign in Iraq, it is finding itself increasingly threatened in Syria. Hundreds of rebels and ISIL fighters have died as part of the largest and most serious rift between rebel and al Qaeda-linked forces since the start of the Syrian civil war. The rate of losses is unsustainable, but there is little reason to think ISIL will back down in either Iraq or Syria.

The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant's commitment to two fronts does not bode well for its long-term success....

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