ASSESSMENTS

Syrian Kurdish Ambitions

Jul 27, 2012 | 10:29 GMT

Syrian Kurdish Ambitions
Syrian Kurds wave Kurdish and pre-Baath Syrian flags during a protest in Qamishli

STR/AFP/GettyImages

Summary

The Syrian Kurds' Democratic Union Party announced July 23 that it had assumed control of the Kurdish towns of Efrin, Kobani, Amuda and Derek. The move followed the Syrian army's withdrawal from northern Syria. The party also announced its intention to form an autonomous Kurdish state in northern Syria. An autonomous Syrian Kurdish state would border semi-autonomous Kurdish regions in both Turkey and Iraq — an unacceptable outcome for Ankara and Baghdad, as well as for Tehran and Damascus.

However, Syria’s Kurdish population lacks internal cohesion and has little to offer in the way of strategic benefits, so it will be difficult for the Syrian Kurds to form a partnership with a regional government — a necessity for the Kurds to achieve autonomy. Inhabiting the least desirable geographic and economic position of any of the region’s Kurdish groups, Syrian Kurds are unlikely to realize their goal of a legally recognized autonomous region within Syria. But other states in the region with significant Kurdish populations — Iran, Iraq and Turkey — are watching with concern to see if the actions of Syria's Kurds can inspire similar movements in their territories.

With the Syrian regime distracted by the rebellion, Syrian Kurds are looking to form an autonomous state....

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