ASSESSMENTS

Syria's Alawites Begin to Flee Damascus

Jul 20, 2012 | 16:58 GMT

Syria's Alawites Begin to Flee Damascus
Syrian rebels pose July 20 after taking control of the Bab al-Hawa border crossing with Turkey

BULENT KILIC/AFP/GettyImages

Summary

It appears to be a matter of time before Alawite-dominated forces fighting in Damascus begin their retreat. While Russia is negotiating an exit for Syrian President Bashar al Assad, the al Assad clan seems prepared to hold its ground in Syria at the moment. The question is whether the al Assad clan will try to do so in Damascus or, more likely, shift its efforts toward fortifying an Alawite stronghold along the mountainous northwestern coast.

Signs are emerging that Alawites have lost faith in the sustainability of the al Assad regime....

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