ASSESSMENTS

Territorial Claims and Perceived Threats in Kashmir

Sep 10, 2010 | 14:56 GMT

FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Rumors are circulating on the Indian subcontinent over the reported presence of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) troops in Pakistani-administered Kashmir, ostensibly to provide protection for aid and construction workers. STRATFOR sources in the area have indicated that these reports are overblown, but China's growing reassertion of territorial claims in the region will not go ignored by India and will give New Delhi and Washington another cause for cooperation. The prospect of greater U.S.-Indian defense cooperation and waning U.S. interest in Afghanistan will meanwhile drive Pakistan closer to China, creating a series of self-perpetuating threats on the subcontinent.

What appear to be exaggerated reports of the Chinese People's Liberation Army in Pakistani-administered Kashmir could have significant military consequences in the wider region. (With STRATFOR map)...

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