Stratfor Middle East and North Africa Analyst at RANE, Stratfor
MIN READFeb 27, 2020 | 09:30 GMT
Smoke from a reported Syrian government airstrike billows over Qaminas, Syria, about 4 miles southeast of Idlib city on Feb. 24, 2020.
(MOHAMMED AL-RIFAI/AFP via Getty Images)
The Syrian government's offensive against rebel forces in Idlib province carries significant risks for Turkey and Russia. Ankara supports many of the rebel groups in Idlib and wants to prevent another flow of Syrian refugees into Turkey. Moscow backs the Syrian offensive. Each wants to avoid a direct confrontation while deterring the other's intervention. The stakes are high. And standing by is the United States, ready to exploit the rift to try to bring Turkey back into its fold....