ASSESSMENTS

In the Ukraine Conflict, Kiev's Gains Risk Escalation

Jul 16, 2014 | 09:14 GMT

Ukraine's Evolving Conflict Risks Escalation
A Ukrainian soldier carries defused RPG round near the eastern city of Slovyansk in the Donetsk region on July 14.

(GENYA SAVILOV/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

The conflict in Ukraine has evolved significantly in recent weeks. Ukrainian security forces have made progress against the pro-Russia rebellion that has plagued the country since March. Central to Kiev's efforts was the takeover of Slovyansk, which had been a rebel stronghold, by the Ukrainian military over the weekend of July 4-6. The rebels fled their bases and checkpoints in Slovyansk and the surrounding areas, but rather than cross the border into Russia, many instead joined forces with pro-Russian separatists in and around Donetsk to continue fighting.

While Ukrainian forces have succeeded in recent operations against pro-Russian rebels, several factors still make peaceful resolution to the conflict difficult to attain and risk further escalation....

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