ASSESSMENTS

In Ukraine, Rogue Elements Defy Kiev and Separatists Alike

Apr 18, 2015 | 12:59 GMT

In Ukraine, Rogue Elements Defy Kiev and Separatists Alike
A pro-Russia rebel walks through a destroyed mine complex in Yenakievo, eastern Ukraine, March 7.

(Photo by ANDREW BURTON/Getty Images)

Summary

Though many parts of the February Minsk agreement are unresolved, the ongoing cease-fire has significantly lowered the intensity and frequency of fighting in eastern Ukraine. This relative lull has given Ukrainian authorities an opportunity to take greater control of the volunteer battalions that have augmented Kiev's military footprint on the ground. Simultaneously, the cease-fire has enabled separatist leaders attempting to weaken some of the pro-Russia armed groups outside their direct control. Nevertheless, both sides will encounter difficulties as they work to boost their grip and fetter rogue elements.

Kiev will try to control its volunteer fighters while separatist leaders target pro-Russia fighters not directly under their command....

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