ASSESSMENTS

Ukraine: The Ruthenians and the Russian Resurgence

Dec 22, 2008 | 11:59 GMT

SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

STRATFOR sources in Moscow have reported of plans by the Ruthenians, an ethnic group located primarily in western Ukraine, to declare independence from Ukraine. The reports maintain that the Ruthenians are not acting alone, but have been receiving organizational backing and financial support from Russia. It is no secret that Russia has been working to increase and consolidate its influence in Ukraine. The Ruthenians occupy such a strategic location that their secession could effectively scuttle any chance for an already-fractured Ukraine to maintain political unity — letting the country slide further into the Kremlin's grip.

A move by an obscure ethnic group in western Ukraine represents Moscow's latest bid to expand its influence in its near abroad....

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