ASSESSMENTS

Ukraine's Balance Between the EU and Russia

Nov 25, 2013 | 11:18 GMT

Ukraine's Balance Between the EU and Russia
Pro-European lawmakers hold the EU and Ukrainian flags in the Ukrainian parliament on Nov. 22.

(SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Ukraine's decision to halt the process for signing landmark political and economic agreements with the European Union has caught the Europeans and much of the media by surprise, but the move fits within Stratfor's ongoing analysis of the issue. At root is Ukraine's geopolitical imperative to balance between the European Union and Russia, without getting too close to one or the other. The same fundamental forces that drove Ukraine's decision on the EU agreements will temper any future compromise or settlement with Russia.

After appearing close to strengthening ties with Brussels, Kiev has reverted to its traditional strategy of balancing between Europe and Russia....

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