ASSESSMENTS

An Uncertain Future for Iraq's Intelligence Services

Jan 11, 2012 | 14:00 GMT

Stratfor

Summary

The institutionalization of a new Iraqi intelligence apparatus after the fall of Saddam Hussein has been a tumultuous process. The country's underlying geopolitical imperatives have changed little since it was first created after World War I, so the roots of these services can be found in those of previous regimes. However, the fall of Hussein's regime in 2003 and the subsequent complete rebuilding of the Iraqi state have led to a period of uncertainty in the country's intelligence community as several ethno-sectarian factions vie for control over it. Shiite Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki appears to be consolidating his power, but his position is by no means stable. As political battles continue, so too will fighting within these services.

Developing a new intelligence apparatus has been a tumultuous process....

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