ASSESSMENTS

U.S.-Myanmar Relations and the Threat to Chinese Interests

Jan 4, 2013 | 11:00 GMT

Rebels fire rockets in Myanmar's northern Kachin state on Sept. 22, 2012

Soe Than WIN/AFP/GettyImages

Summary

The United States has been attempting to strengthen ties with Myanmar, but the two countries are still learning how to work with each other, a phrase that will likely persist throughout 2013. Indeed, recent U.S. criticism of Naypyidaw's armed conflict with ethnic Kachin rebels in northern Myanmar highlights the untested nature of relations between the two countries. Washington's practice of criticizing the use of force against civilians or rebel forces, particularly with aircraft or artillery, will complicate relations with the Myanmar government unless it shows military restraint. Moreover, since the U.S.-Myanmar relationship directly threatens Chinese interests, Beijing could attempt to drive a deeper wedge between Washington and Naypyidaw to maintain its historical primacy in the Southeast Asian nation.

Beijing has the means to drive a wedge between Washington and Naypyidaw....

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