ASSESSMENTS
Venezuela: The Implications of Possible Regime Change
Oct 5, 2012 | 10:46 GMT
![](https://worldview.stratfor.com/sites/default/files/styles/2x1_full/public/main/images/153315544.jpg?itok=FAUno2Qf)
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez (L) and opposition candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski
G.CASO / J.BARRETO/AFP/GettyImages
Summary
Venezuela is at a crossroads in history. Should he win the Oct. 7 vote, presidential challenger Henrique Capriles Radonski would be constrained greatly by the policies and systems left by President Hugo Chavez's administration. But a change in leadership could transform Venezuela and its regional role, possibly to the extent that Cuba could seek reconciliation with the United States.
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