ASSESSMENTS
Venezuela's Friends and Foes Square Off Over Maduro
Jan 26, 2019 | 16:39 GMT
(ERNESTO MASTRASCUSA/AFP/Getty Images)
Highlights
- Russia, China and Cuba will attempt to keep Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in office while the United States and its allies in Venezuela's political opposition ratchet up pressure to hasten his departure.
- Havana and Moscow will become directly involved in trying to safeguard or prolong Maduro's rule.
- Brazil and Colombia will work to force Maduro from power, but their ability to pressure Caracas will be limited compared to that of the United States.
- Events on the ground, as well as Maduro's ability to keep Venezuela's armed forces on his side, will determine whether the leader stays in place or soon leaves power.
- A formal negotiation period could delay Maduro's removal, so the opposition will try to win over as many military commanders and soldiers as possible in the short term.
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