ASSESSMENTS

Waiting Out the Enemy in Somalia

Oct 31, 2016 | 09:30 GMT

In Somalia, Al Shabaab Tries to Outwait Its Opponents
AMISOM troops leave for a patrol in Barawe, Somalia, on Oct. 11. Over the past few weeks, al Shabaab has spread back into parts of the country that had previously fallen to AMISOM troops.

(ANDREW RENNEISEN/Getty Images)

Summary

Al Shabaab, the militant Islamist group in Somalia, has taken over more territory over the past few weeks. With African Union and Somali troops stretched thin, particularly as Ethiopian forces withdraw from Central Somalia, the group has been able to steadily add to its holdings. But there is only so much al Shabaab can do to extend its reach while international aid is being given to the Somali military. The group may have little choice but to dig in and wait, hoping that Mogadishu's foreign partners lose interest in the conflict before the army becomes strong enough to stand on its own.

Al Shabaab, the militant Islamist group in Somalia, has taken over more territory over the past few weeks. With African Union and Somali troops stretched thin, particularly as Ethiopian forces withdraw from Central Somalia, the group has been able to steadily add to its holdings. But there is only so much al Shabaab can do to extend its reach while international aid is being given to the Somali military. The group may have little choice but to dig in and wait, hoping that Mogadishu's foreign partners lose interest in the conflict before the army becomes strong enough to stand on its own....

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