ASSESSMENTS

The Weakness Behind Central Asia's Strongmen

May 23, 2016 | 23:26 GMT

Police break up an anti-government protest in Kazakhstan. The country's highly centralized government has cracked down hard on its opponents over the past year.

(Reuters)

Summary

The former Soviet states of Central Asia are known for their strongly centralized, autocratic governments. Yet lately some leaders' efforts to keep opposition elements in check indicate underlying weakness. On May 21, protests occurred in Kazakhstan despite the government's considerable efforts to prevent them. In Tajikistan, a May 22 referendum showed near-universal support for a motion to abolish presidential term limits, a result that does not account for ongoing resistance movements. Both the Kazakh and Tajik governments wear a mask of strength, but referendums and relentless demonstrations merely reveal persistent complications within these countries and throughout the region.

The former Soviet states of Central Asia are known for their strongly centralized, autocratic governments. Yet lately some leaders' efforts to keep opposition elements in check indicate underlying weakness. Few of the region's governments tolerate any hint of opposition, whether in the form of public demonstrations or opposition political parties. But denied a legal outlet for dissent, the opposition elements in Central Asian countries often resort to violence, meaning the political situation in the region is likely to remain volatile at best. ...

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