On Security

What Happens After the Islamic State Loses Mosul

Scott Stewart
VP of Tactical Analysis, Stratfor
Oct 27, 2016 | 08:00 GMT
A still from cockpit video of an airstrike on an Islamic State target near Mosul as Iraqi forces prepare for an offensive to liberate the city

A still from cockpit video of an airstrike on an Islamic State target near Mosul on Oct. 16. The imminent fall of Mosul raises the question of what comes next for the Islamic State.

(Reuters/U.S. Department of Defense)

Whether after a protracted struggle or a rapid defeat, the Islamic State will lose control of Mosul in the face of the offensive to expel it. This naturally raises the question: What comes next for the Islamic State? But the answer depends on how you define the Islamic State, and which division of the movement you consider....

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