Guidance

What Iran's Next Vote Means for Policy and the Presidency

Emily Hawthorne
Middle East and North Africa Analyst, Stratfor
Feb 19, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani presents the budget for the fiscal year that starts in late March 2020 on Dec. 8, 2019. Rouhani described it as a

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani addresses the country's parliament in Tehran on Dec. 8, 2019. On Feb. 21, Iran will hold its first parliamentary elections since the United States began ramping up its 'maximum pressure' campaign.

(STR/afp/AFP via Getty Images)

On Feb. 21, Iran will hold the first round of parliamentary elections that could usher in the return of a more conservative legislature. With moderates and reformists taking a back seat, such an outcome would nudge Tehran toward more hard-line and hawkish foreign policies, leaving less room for negotiation with the West amid soaring U.S.-Iran tensions. Regardless of its next ideological make-up, however, Iran's incoming parliament will struggle more than ever to answer the economic and social demands of an increasingly desperate and cash-strapped electorate -- a reality that could have dire consequences for Tehran's political stability ahead of the country's crucial 2021 presidential election....

For Serious People Who Seek Intelligence Over News

Subscribe & Save 50% today!

You can cancel at anytime

  • High quality, unbiased analysis of global events
  • Quarterly, annual, and decade geopolitical forecasts
  • Customized notifications, newsletters, and much more

Preview Some FREE Worldview Articles Below:

Free Coronavirus Articles

Free Geopolitical Articles

Article Search

Copyright © Stratfor Enterprises, LLC. All rights reserved.

Stratfor Worldview

OUR COMMITMENT

To empower members to confidently understand and navigate a continuously changing and complex global environment.