ASSESSMENTS

What the Upcoming Elections Mean for Zimbabwe

Jun 25, 2018 | 09:00 GMT

Zimbabwe's President Emmerson Mnangagwa attends the official launch of his ruling Zimbabwe African National Union Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) party manifesto for the upcoming general elections. The first general elections since the ouster of longtime ruler Robert Mugabe are quickly approaching.

Zimbabwe's President Emmerson Mnangagwa attends the official launch of his ruling Zimbabwe African National Union Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) party manifesto for the upcoming general elections.

(JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Highlights

  • The outcome of Zimbabwe's July 30 elections and how Western governments view their fairness will greatly affect the country's ability to reform and attract foreign investment.
  • Failure by the government in Harare to ensure relatively fair elections that are free of violence would slow or halt interim President Emmerson Mnangagwa's push for change.
  • Sanctions and a foreign investment boycott have made Zimbabwe a country that needs financing for a wide array of businesses, including agribusiness, services, banking and insurance.

For Zimbabwe, these are heady times -- full of hints of opportunity but still overshadowed by decades of repression. The first general elections since the ouster of longtime ruler Robert Mugabe are quickly approaching, and interim President Emmerson Mnangagwa needs a strong mandate to push through his desired -- and likely painful -- reforms. But the opposition senses its best opportunity in years to make waves, and the people and party in power don't want to give up their profits and positions. So can Zimbabwe really pull off these elections without serious fraud and violence? If it can, the country could become an attractive market for Western investment and find itself on the path to a more prosperous future. Thus, the results of the elections and Western perceptions of their fairness will prove crucial....

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