Assessments

What's Driving Muslim Countries to Normalize Their Ties With Israel?

Ryan Bohl
Middle East and North Africa Analyst, Stratfor
Aug 25, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
A vintage map of the Middle East.
A vintage-looking map of the Middle East.
(Porcupen/Shutterstock.com)

The waning influence of the pan-Islamism and pan-Arabism movements, combined with increasing U.S. pressure, will cause Oman, Bahrain and Morocco to soon join the United Arab Emirates in formalizing ties with Israel, accelerating a longer-term normalization trend that no longer hinges on the formation of a Palestinian state. The allure of Israel's technology and defense capabilities could also compel other Muslim states with covert ties and limited histories of overt conflict with Israel, such as Pakistan, to follow suit. Israel will, in turn, see expanding global economic ties that strengthen its post-pandemic recovery, as well as stronger regional allies that bolster its position against Iran should the upcoming U.S. election yield a less hawkish administration in Washington....

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