What's Next for Ethiopia's Civil War Amid Renewed Fighting in Tigray?

Sep 9, 2022 | 20:28 GMT

A truck, carrying grains to Tigray and belonging to the World Food Programme (WFP), burns out on a route 80 kilometers from Semera in northeastern Ethiopia, on June 10, 2022.

A truck carrying humanitarian aid to Ethiopia's war-torn Tigray region burns out on a road 80 kilometers from the northeastern city of Semera on June 10, 2022.

(DUARDO SOTERAS/AFP via Getty Images)

In Ethiopia, renewed fighting between the government and rebels in the Tigray region will likely persist through at least the end of the year, which will complicate the renewal of a cease-fire and deepen the humanitarian crisis in the war-torn country. Clashes in northern Ethiopia between the government's Ethiopian National Defense Forces (ENDF) and the rebel Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) have erupted in recent weeks and show no signs of slowing, collapsing the humanitarian truce that the warring sides agreed to five months ago. After battling each other for nearly two years, both the ENDF and TPLF are grappling with growing personnel, equipment, intelligence and resource constraints. Neither, however, appears poised to stand down on their war aims, which haven't changed since the conflict began in November 2020 -- with the Ethiopian government seeking to exercise state control over Tigray and the TPLF demanding an autonomous region and government....

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