ASSESSMENTS

Why Russia Will Send More Troops to Central Asia

Apr 11, 2015 | 12:59 GMT

Russian soldiers take part in the August 2014 Indestructible Brotherhood joint military exercises at the Ala-Too training ground in Kyrgyzstan.
Russian soldiers take part in the August 2014 Indestructible Brotherhood joint military exercises at the Ala-Too training ground in Kyrgyzstan.

(VYACHESLAV OSELEDKO/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Russia is making a concerted effort to increase its military and security presence throughout Central Asia, just not for the reasons it would have you think. Though the Kremlin is concerned with the threat of spillover violence from Islamist militancy in Afghanistan — its purported motive for deploying more troops — it is far more alarmed by what it sees as Chinese and Western encroachment into lands over which it has long held sway. It is this concern that will shape Moscow's behavior in Central Asia in the years to come.

Western and Chinese influence in Central Asia may worry Moscow more than the threat of Islamist militancy....

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