snapshots

Yemen: The UAE Trades Its Involvement in the Yemen Conflict for a Stronger Regional Posture

4 MINS READJul 3, 2019 | 22:49 GMT
The Big Picture

The fight to drive Yemen's rebel Houthi movement back to its original territory has been supported since 2015 by a coalition comprised primarily of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, among others. Beyond supplying much-needed forces, equipment and air power, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have always pursued slightly different goals and objectives in Yemen. The Emiratis have adjusted their force posture to focus on terrorist elements in the country, at the expense of the front-line fight against the Houthis. This has freed up Abu Dhabi to recall surplus forces, at a time when the UAE footprint in the region has never been stronger. 

What Happened

Reports are emerging that the UAE contingent of the anti-Houthi coalition has been pulling troops and equipment out of Yemen for several months now. The United Arab Emirates appears to be very purposely reducing its military posture in the country to extract itself from the active conflict. It is not a complete withdrawal, however, and sources in Yemen indicate that UAE forces are not reducing efforts to combat terrorist groups such as al Qaeda and the Islamic State in liberated territories. And in some of the front-line zones where active fighting persists, such as Bayhan, the UAE presence has apparently not been reduced at all.

Why It Matters

At this point, the staged withdrawal of UAE forces mostly affects the al-Hudaydah front running along Yemen's western coastline. This was one of the most active combat zones for UAE forces until a United Nations-facilitated Houthi withdrawal from the port city of al-Hudaydah partially stabilized the area. The United Arab Emirates has always been wary of being pulled into a full-fledged war in central Yemen. Instead, it has focused on cooperating with local actors, mostly in southern Yemen, where Emirati troops developed close relationships with local tribal elements.

By establishing a web of bases to support its involvement in the Yemen civil war, the United Arab Emirates has projected itself into a new regional security role that did not exist before its engagement in the campaign.

Though the United Arab Emirates helped generate momentum early in coalition operations — with the deployment of professional, well-equipped forces and a willingness to train local fighters — its active involvement dwindled over time as battle lines moved beyond the areas where UAE forces were most directly engaged. As a result, any drawdown of personnel is unlikely to affect regions with stabilized front lines maintained by other forces, though the remaining coalition forces will face the significant challenge of making progress against the Houthi-controlled areas of central Yemen.

Background

Despite turning its back on an active front-line role in the conflict, the United Arab Emirates has built up an influential position throughout the evolution of the civil war in Yemen. By working closely with southern groups that don't necessarily align with the Saudi-backed government of Yemen, such as the secessionist Southern Transitional Council, the Emiratis have gained a much stronger ability to operate in areas where al Qaeda — and some Islamic State offshoots — maintain a presence. This enables the United Arab Emirates to continue its effective suppression of terrorist activity even as it reduces its overall military footprint.

Yemen 101

The continued divergence between southern Yemeni interests and the overall war effort could result in a new wave of separatism, or even spark conflict within Yemen's government. And despite withdrawing personnel from the conflict, the United Arab Emirates has developed significant military infrastructure throughout the southern Red Sea region and the Gulf of Aden, building bases to host naval, air and ground assets in places such as Perim Island (Yemen), Assab (Eritrea), Berbera (Somaliland) and Bosaso (Puntland). 

This web of bases has projected the United Arab Emirates into a new regional security role that did not exist before its engagement in the Yemen coalition. That role has also paved the way to deeper involvement in Libya, where Emirati forces and assets have been deployed. So regardless of the United Arab Emirates' future in the Yemen conflict, Abu Dhabi has positioned itself as a proactive and notable security actor in the wider region.

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