Columns

Just as the Ukraine war motivated Sweden and Finland to abandon their neutrality, it could reconcile the European Union with two of its most problematic member states.

The most significant emerging challenge is the trilateral nuclear dynamic driven by China's expanding nuclear arsenal and evolving nuclear doctrine.

The prospect of an Israeli state that includes at least some of the Palestinian territories is growing amid both sides' disinterest in a peace process and Israel's continued West Bank expansions.

If there is to be a crack that gives way to a larger political revolt, it will only come after a series of failures by Putin -- and possibly years of sacrifice by his people.

The increasingly multipolar world order is enabling many African states to resist Western pressure to condemn Moscow's aggression with limited repercussions.

China's new security deal with the island nation is the latest in a series of moves by Beijing to normalize its military's expanding international role.

The ongoing situation in Costa Rica points to a future where threat actors' ability to coerce entire nation-states is just as concerning as their ability to destroy critical infrastructure.

European states' expulsion of Russian spies won't keep the Kremlin from using the internet to both acquire and weaponize information via cyberespionage operations.

The loss of more than 400 officers will undoubtedly complicate, and in some cases cripple, Russian espionage in Europe, but the impact will fade over time.

Crackdowns on independent media and civil society groups pose long-term risks by silencing valuable local information sources and harming the business climate.

Even if the world probably won't be engulfed by violence, persistent inflation-linked protests can be expected some places, with periodic episodes of more serious unrest.

Rising competition with the West and more programs designed to counter China's BRI will prompt Beijing to expand its intelligence-collection efforts.

A surge in cyberespionage, influence and information operations and the exploitation of databases and hardware left after the U.S. withdrawal all can be expected.

The threat to governments and businesses apparently is reemerging, and could grow over the decade to encompass a wider set of targets, perpetrators and tactics.

The war between North and South never officially ended, but the battle to achieve economic prosperity weighs much heavier on the minds of many South Koreans.

There are abundant reminders in Ramallah, Tel Aviv and elsewhere of the different realities that constrain and pressure each side of the conflict.

The course of events after the Cold War ended may explain why few in Asia share the predominant European belief in the inevitability of a tightly knit global system.

The view of Afghanistan from ground level is very different from 35,000 feet up, or from a world away in Washington, D.C.

Traveling through Andalusia reveals the complexity of the region's culture and history -- and the pride its people have in them.

Colombia is not an easy country to govern. Its mountains and jungles have historically harbored towns and villages that have wildly different political worldviews and that have been in constant conflict since the country's independence in 1810. Political identity -- left or right -- has long been a defining feature of Colombia's isolated towns, particularly those in Antioquia department. It is in this context that in 1977 embattled rancher Ramon Isaza gathered forces in the sleepy river town of Puerto Boyaca to fight the FARC forces terrorizing his community.

The future of the peace deal with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, like that of the country as a whole, is uncertain. But Colombia's recent progress gives hope of a brighter future.

It’s a seemingly simple question. But like so many things in geopolitics, the answer depends on who you ask.

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our successes and slip-ups in forecasting the events of the past year.

To write intelligently about the future, it's important to look back at our past performance.

How geopolitical events so far in 2019 align with -- and diverge from -- Stratfor's annual forecast.

As the end of the year approaches, it is important to reflect on the past, take stock of the present and look ahead to the future.