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What Q3 security risks should companies expect and prepare for?

Essential Geopolitics: An Overview of RANE's Q3 Forecast

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In this aerial view, pools of brine containing lithium carbonate and mounds of salt byproduct stretch through a lithium mine in the Atacama desert on Aug. 24, 2022, in Salar de Atacama, Chile.

Energy

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Lithium nationalization in Chile will face many obstacles in its efforts to attract foreign investment.

Chile's Lithium Industry Holds its Breath as Boric Pursues Nationalization

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Supporters of Chile's far-right Republican Party celebrate their victory in the Constitutional Council election on May 7, 2023.

Conservatives' veto-proof majority in the new Constitutional Council will quell investor fears about major changes to Chile's current business-friendly charter.

Chileans Task Right-Wing Parties to Draft Their Next Constitution

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Russian soldiers march in Moscow on May 4, 2023, during a rehearsal for the Victory Day military parade on May 9.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Russia Marks Victory Day, Japan's Leader Visits South Korea

Bolivia

Chilean President Gabriel Boric (right) and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz (left) pose after holding a joint press conference at the Palacio de La Moneda in Santiago, Chile, on Jan. 29, 2023. 

To reduce its reliance on Chinese-made batteries, Germany is seeking to increase its presence in Latin America's ''Lithium Triangle.''

In Search of Lithium, Germany Eyes Partnerships With Chile and Argentina

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A digital illustration shows the flags of Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Chile and Peru. 

The rise of left-wing governments in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Peru is largely the result of growing anti-establishment sentiment fueled by economic volatility.

Is Latin America Experiencing Another Leftist Wave?

Chile is not finished with the constitutional process, despite a resounding defeat for the first draft.

Essential Geopolitics: Changing Chile's Constitution, Round Two

People opposed to Chile's proposed new constitution celebrate in the streets of Santiago on Sept. 4, 2022, after the first results of the referendum showed the number of ''no'' votes far exceeding the number of ''yes'' votes. 

The potential for more protests and constitutional changes will keep the country's regulatory landscape uncertain, likely prompting businesses to suspend large investments.

In Chile, the Rejection of a New Constitution Won't Put the Issue to Rest

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A moving van at No. 10 Downing Street, the official residence of the prime minister of the United Kingdom, on Sept. 2, 2022, in central London. The governing Conservative Party will announce the winner of its leadership contest Sept. 5, and Queen Elizabeth II will appoint the new Conservative leader as British prime minister Sept. 6.

The Weekly Rundown: A New British Prime Minister, a New Chilean Charter

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Citizens in Santiago receive a copy of the proposed new Chilean constitution on Aug. 29, 2022, ahead of the upcoming referendum. 

Regardless of the result of the Sept. 4 referendum, Chile's left- and right-wing political forces will push for their own constitutional amendments, which will keep legal uncertainty high and threaten decades of regulatory stability.

What to Expect as Chile Votes on a New Constitution

A miner works at the Kiara copper mine in Chile on June 22, 2021. 

Beijing’s planned infrastructure projects could help Chile, Peru and Brazil weather the global economic slowdown by sustaining Chinese demand for copper and iron ore.

China’s Stimulus Spending Will Buoy South America’s Mining Exports

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Members of the Constitutional Convention pose for a picture during the official presentation of the draft they made of the new constitution on May 16, 2022, at the Ruinas de Huanchaca National Monument in Antofagasta, Chile.

The Weekly Rundown: The Chilean Constitution Is Unveiled, an ECOWAS Summit

Chilean President Gabriel Boric launched the Commission for Peace and Understanding, which seeks to define the land rights claims of the Mapuche Indigenous people and lead to a permanent solution to land rights disputes in the Southern Macrozone, Ex-Ante reported on June 22.

Chile: President Launches Committee to Assess Indigenous Land Claims

Chile's predominantly right-wing Constitutional Council on June 7 began work on a second draft constitution to replace the current document that dates back to the country's military dictatorship, Reuters reported the same day. 

Chile: Right-Wing Council Starts Constitutional Drafting Process

Chile's lower house approved a mining tax reform that increases taxes and royalties levied on the country's copper and lithium companies, Reuters reported on May 17.

Chile: Congress Approves Higher Mining Taxes and Royalties

Chilean President Gabriel Boric announced on April 20 that he would seek to nationalize the country's lithium industry, issuing any future contracts as public-private partnerships with state control, Reuters reported the next day.

Chile: Boric Announces Nationalization of Lithium Sector

Chile's National Congress approved a gradual decrease in weekly working hours from 45 to 40, with one hour being removed from the workweek per year until 2026, Exante reported on April 11.

Chile: Congress Approves Gradual Decrease in Workweek

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The leaders of Argentina, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Honduras, Mexico, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Venezuela met virtually and agreed to take steps to facilitate commercial trade, La Jornada reported April 5.

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Chile's lower legislative house unexpectedly rejected a government tax reform that would have established an additional wealth tax, eliminated some tax exemptions and increased income taxes for high earners, Bloomberg reported on March 8.

Chile: Lower House Rejects President's Tax Reform

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The United States and 11 other countries -- Barbados, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Uruguay -- formally launched discussions on the Americas Partnership for Economic Prosperity (APEP), according to a Jan. 27 joint declaration by the 12 countries.

Americas: 12 Countries Launch U.S.-Led Talks to Boost Economic Ties

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Covering an area that spans the entire width of the continent beginning at the Sahara Desert and ending at the southernmost tip of South Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa is home to countless cultures, languages, religions, plants, animals and natural resources.

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Chile stretches along the western edge of the tip of South America, squeezed between the Andean Mountains to the east and the Pacific Ocean to the west. It shares with Argentina the world's third-longest international border, which roughly bisecting the Andes. They create a formidable challenge for trade integration between the neighbors. The Atacama Desert marks Chile's northern reaches, where its borders with Peru and Bolivia lie, while its southern limits include territorial claims in Antarctica. Chile’s victory in the War of the Pacific, which it fought from 1879 to 1884 against Peru and Bolivia, allowed it to extend its territory to the north. But tensions persist over parts of that land, which Bolivia continues to claim as its own. Most of Chile's copper reserves can be found in its north, and as the world’s largest copper producer, the sector is vital to its economy.    The metropolitan area of Chile's capital, Santiago, in the central part of the country, constitutes its core, where almost half of country’s population is concentrated. The country's overall population is chiefly homogeneous: More than 80 percent of the people identify as having European or mestizo ancestry. There are significant pockets of ethnic minorities, including the indigenous Mapuches, which are mostly located in the south. These groups have pressed demands for territorial rights and have engaged in often-violent clashes with the country’s security forces, but their numbers are too small to seriously threaten the central government.     Chile’s location on the Pacific Rim make it a portal of trade between Asian countries and the rest of South America. It has struck more free trade agreements than any other country on the continent, many of those with trading partners that also border the Pacific.  

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SITUATION REPORTS

Chile: President Launches Committee to Assess Indigenous Land Claims

Chile: Right-Wing Council Starts Constitutional Drafting Process

Chile: Congress Approves Higher Mining Taxes and Royalties

Chile: Boric Announces Nationalization of Lithium Sector

Chile: Congress Approves Gradual Decrease in Workweek

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Chile: Lower House Rejects President's Tax Reform

Americas: 12 Countries Launch U.S.-Led Talks to Boost Economic Ties

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