Mexico

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U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Ken Salazar said on July 23 that the number of migrants arrested for illegally crossing into the United States from Mexico dropped to around 1,500 on July 22, the lowest daily figure since 2018, La Jornada reported on July 24.

U.S., Mexico: Migrant Arrests at U.S.-Mexico Border Drop to Lowest Level in Six Years

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China

Belarus

Russia

U.S.-China Relations

In a July 10 presidential proclamation, U.S. President Joe Biden announced new 25% tariffs on steel entering the United States through Mexico that was not melted and poured in North America, as well as 10% tariffs on aluminum imported from Mexico that contained primary smelt from Belarus, China, Iran or Russia.

U.S.: New National Security Tariffs Target Chinese Steel, Aluminum Imports From Mexico

Judicial branch workers in Mexico threatened to go on strike on July 1 to oppose the legal system reform outgoing President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador outlined and that President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum has pledged to pursue, El Financiero reported on July 24. 

Mexico: Controversial Reform Push To Fuel Sporadic Demonstrations, Undermine Business Environment

President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum on June 20 announced her first six Cabinet picks, including former Foreign Affairs Minister Marcelo Ebrard to lead the Economy Ministry and former Ambassador to the United Nations Juan Ramon de la Fuente to lead the Foreign Affairs Ministry.

Mexico: President-elect's First Cabinet Picks Reinforce Continuity Pledge

Mexico's National Electoral Institute, or INE, announced that the ruling Morena party and its allies won 83 seats in the Senate, just two below the 85 required for a two-thirds majority needed to change the constitution, Reuters reported on June 9.

Mexico: Morena Lacks Supermajority in Senate but Remains Set on Constitutional Reforms

At a campaign event in U.S. border state Arizona, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said the United States could place tariffs on other countries, including China, if they do not curb the flow of undocumented migrants to the United States, Reuters reported on June 6.

U.S.: Trump Suggests Placing Tariffs on Countries Over Immigration

During Mexico's 2024 election cycle, the country experienced the highest number of political murders in its modern history, with 63 assassinations of political figures reported between June 2023 and June 2024, El Economista reported on June 5.

Mexico: 2024 Election Brought the Most Political Killings in Mexico's Modern History

President Joe Biden signed an executive order that restricts asylum requests once the average number of daily encounters between Customs and Border Protection agents and migrants who illegally cross the U.S.-Mexico border rises above 2,500, NBC reported on June 4.

U.S.: President Biden Announces Restriction on Asylum Requests

Assessments

The front pages of Mexican newspapers showing the news of the capture of cartel leader Ismael ''El Mayo'' Zambada are seen in Mexico City, Mexico, on July 26, 2024. 

On top of spurring retaliatory violence in the weeks ahead, the arrests of El Chapo's son and a major Sinaloa Cartel leader could alter Mexico's criminal landscape by weakening one of the country's most powerful cartels.

In Mexico, What To Expect Following the Arrests of Two Major Drug Lords

Vietnam

Germany

Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump on June 22 in Philadelphia. Should Trump return to the White House in 2025, a second term would see him target China, Mexico, Vietnam and the European Union to varying degrees.

Global Elections

Should former President Donald Trump return to the White House in 2025, a second term would see him target China, Mexico, Vietnam and the European Union to varying degrees.

What a Second Trump Term Could Mean for Global Trade: Who Trump Would Tariff, and How They Would Respond

Should former President Donald Trump return to the White House in 2025, a second term would see higher tariffs on imports, new trade wars, greater U.S. inflation and accelerated global supply chain diversification.

What a Second Trump Term Could Mean for Global Trade: Trump's Trade Priorities

Mexico's President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum gives a speech after the first results released by the election authorities show that she is leading the polls by a wide margin on June 3, 2024, in Mexico City, Mexico. 

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

As president, Sheinbaum will largely maintain Lopez Obrador's domestic policies, but pending legislative results could set the stage for controversial constitutional reforms. 

Morena Sweeps Mexico's General Election, Portending Policy Continuity and Possible Constitutional Reforms

South Africa

France

India

A rally for Morena party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum on May 29 in Mexico City's Zocalo.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: South Africa's ANC Faces a Reckoning, Mexican Voters Select a New President

Mexico's June 2 presidential election will pit former Mexico City mayor Claudia Sheinbaum from the ruling Morena party against leading opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez.

2024 Elections: Mexico

Ecuador

Police guard stand outside the Mexican embassy in Quito, Ecuador, on April 8, 2024. 

President Noboa likely hoped the raid would show his commitment to combatting corruption, but it has only left his government with more enemies at home and abroad.

Ecuador's Raid on the Mexican Embassy Risks Backfiring on Its President

Media

Podcasts

What should we watch ahead of Mexico's elections?

Essential Geopolitics: Mexico Elections Primer

Columns

On Geopolitics

In the coming years, rising nationalist and anti-globalization ideologies will likely lead to heightened geopolitical competition and trade/technological fragmentation that will impact relations between countries.

Can Globalization Survive in an Increasingly Fragmented World?

Argentina

Brazil

Colombia

El Salvador

Panama

Peru

Flooding on the Rimac River on March 18, 2017, in Chosica, at the foot of the Andes east of Lima, Peru. The current El Nino contributed to floods, crop failure, heat waves and drought across Latin America in 2023, and its effects will persist until it lifts in the second quarter of 2024.

The current El Nino contributed to floods, crop failure, heat waves and drought across Latin America in 2023, and its effects will persist until it lifts in the second quarter of 2024.

How El Nino Will Impact Latin America in 2024

Different currency exchanges are seen outside the Mexican Stock Exchange building at Reforma Avenue in Mexico City on Jan. 5, 2024. 

Mexico and Brazil are better positioned to take advantage of falling U.S. interest rates than Argentina, where political and economic uncertainty will remain high as its new president's reforms are tested.

How Will Changing Global Conditions Impact Latin America's Largest Economies?

Burkina Faso

Mali

Niger

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Turkey

Hong Kong SAR, China

Japan

South Korea

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United Kingdom

Poland

Spain

Italy

Armenia

Ukraine

Azerbaijan

Bangladesh

Pakistan

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our successes and slip-ups in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2023 Annual Forecast

Mexico is defined by dramatic geographic features that have shaped the country's politics. Forming the southern portion of North America, Mexico borders the tropical Central American isthmus, a broad band that defines Mexico's northern border with the United States. To the east and west, the Sierra Madre Occidental and the Sierra Madre Oriental dominate the Pacific and the Caribbean coasts, forming highlands that cradle of the modern heart of Mexico. The desolate Baja California peninsula shields approaches from the western sea. To the east, the tropical limestone outcropping named the Yucatán peninsula dominates entry from the Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico. Mexico's central valley, which includes Mexico City and the adjacent Veracruz region, form Mexico's core.     To control Mexico City is to control Mexico, and the greatest conventional threats to Mexico City have traditionally come from the deepwater Port city of Veracruz. Since the 16th century, Spain, France and the United States &mdash; not to mention numerous mutinous factions of the Mexican military &mdash; have used Veracruz to threaten and even conquer what is now Mexico City. Mexico's mountains and frontier territories are traditional hotbeds of unrest. From the rebels of Chihuahua to the drug kingpins of Tierra Caliente and Sinaloa, the historical and ongoing challenge for Mexico is to subdue and incorporate far-flung, geographically-isolated communities. The modern expression of this struggle can be seen in today's war with drug trafficking organizations, but it is a pattern that has been repeated throughout history and has been shaped by Mexico's physical geography. 

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Mexico: Migrant Arrests at U.S.-Mexico Border Drop to Lowest Level in Six Years

U.S.: New National Security Tariffs Target Chinese Steel, Aluminum Imports From Mexico

Mexico: Controversial Reform Push To Fuel Sporadic Demonstrations, Undermine Business Environment

Mexico: President-elect's First Cabinet Picks Reinforce Continuity Pledge

Mexico: Morena Lacks Supermajority in Senate but Remains Set on Constitutional Reforms

U.S.: Trump Suggests Placing Tariffs on Countries Over Immigration

Mexico: 2024 Election Brought the Most Political Killings in Mexico's Modern History

U.S.: President Biden Announces Restriction on Asylum Requests

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