Georgia

Economics

Military & Security

Politics

Georgia's ruling Georgian Dream party confirmed that it will reintroduce multiple proposed versions of a controversial "foreign agents" bill, most of which would be "virtually unchanged" from the drafts considered in 2023, Politico reported on April 3. 

Georgia: Ruling Party Will Reintroduce Controversial 'Foreign Agents' Bill

Bidzina Ivanishvili, a former prime minister of Georgia and the founder of the ruling Georgian Dream party, announced on Dec. 30, 2023, that he had decided to become the party's honorary chair, Eurasianet reported the next day.

Georgia: Top Oligarch Announces Return to Politics

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The European Council voted to grant EU candidate status to Georgia, and both government officials and opposition politicians in Georgia praised the decision, Civil Georgia reported on Dec. 14. 

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Georgia for EU Candidate Status

Europe

The European Commission recommended granting EU candidate status to Georgia with the understanding that Tbilisi would make further progress in nine different reform areas, Civil Georgia reported on Nov. 8.

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Granting Georgia EU Candidate Status

Iran

Turkey

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Russia

The foreign ministers of Iran, Turkey and Russia will meet their counterparts from Azerbaijan and Armenia in Tehran to discuss progress towards a peace agreement between the latter two states within the framework of the so-called 3+3 South Caucasus Platform, Reuters reported Oct. 23.

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia: 3+3 Format Meeting Held in Iran as Georgia Declines to Attend

The Constitutional Court of Georgia ruled that President Salome Zurabishvili violated the constitution by visiting Europe without the government's approval, Civil Georgia reported on Oct. 16.

Georgia: Constitutional Court Says President Violated Constitution

Ukraine

Moldova

An internal update from the European Commission indicated that Ukraine and Moldova have made important progress in implementing key reforms to facilitate EU membership, while Georgia has made only limited progress, Euractiv reported on June 21.

EU: Bloc Reports on Eurasian Countries' Progress Toward EU Membership

Russian President Vladimir Putin lifted a 2019 flight ban on Georgia and introduced a 90-day visa-free regime with the country, Reuters reported on May 10.

Georgia, Russia: Russia Lifts Flight Ban, Enacts Visa-Free Regime With Georgia

Assessments

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U..S Secretary of State Antony Blinken (L) meets with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan on Oct. 14, 2023, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken will meet with his Arab counterparts Nov. 4 in the Jordanian capital in a bid to garner regional support for U.S. policies in the Israel-Hamas war.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Blinken Meets Arab Ministers, State Assembly Elections in India

Columns

On Geopolitics

Sub-Saharan Africa

Taiwan

North Macedonia

Belarus

An old map labels African countries and regions by their colonial names.

Shifting national identities have always led nations to adopt new names, and in this evolving multipolar world, modern states are no different.

National Identity and the Geopolitics of Choosing a Name

Demonstrators wave a flag of Georgia in Europe Square on June 20, 2022 in Tbilisi, Georgia.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The ruling party's recent move to impeach the country's pro-EU president acutely illustrates how Georgia's complex domestic politics complicate predictions of its geopolitical trajectory.

Deep Divisions Set the Tone For Georgia's Geopolitical Future

Snapshots

Georgian opposition supporters gather outside the parliament in Tbilisi on March 9, 2023, ahead of a vote on the ruling party's controversial ''foreign agent'' bill. 

The rejection of the controversial bill will reduce the intensity of recent demonstrations, but the country's greater path toward Western integration remains uncertain.

Georgia Drops Its 'Foreign Agents' Bill, Easing Protests and Western Concerns -- For Now

French President Emmanuel Macron (left) meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during an Eastern Partnership summit at the European Council headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, on Dec. 15, 2021. 

Security

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

European Disintegration

These countries will probably receive more EU funding and political support to help fend off threats from Russia, but they're unlikely to join the bloc anytime soon.

For Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, EU Aid Remains More Likely Than Accession

The chairman of Georgia’s ruling Georgian Dream party, Irakli Kobakhidze, attends a press conference following EU-mediated talks with opposition leaders in Tbilisi on March 31, 2021. 

The ruling party’s withdrawal from the EU-brokered pact it signed with opposition leaders could undermine the legitimacy of Georgia’s upcoming elections. 

An Annulled Political Deal Plunges Georgia Back Into Uncertainty 

Media

Podcasts

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

In this episode of Baker's Dozen, host Rodger Baker speaks with Lasha Kasradze, a Eurasia analyst who specializes in the Caucasus about Georgia and the tentative geopolitical situation of the Greater Caucasus, where great powers and lesser powers have been jockeying for position.

Baker's Dozen: The Geopolitics of Georgia

In this episode of the Essential Geopolitics podcast, Stratfor Vice President of Strategic Analysis Rodger Baker speaks to Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili about her visit to Brussels to discuss progress on Georgia's inclusion in the EU and NATO.

Essential Geopolitics: Georgia's Role in NATO and the EU

Echoes of the Cold War

In this episode of the Essential Geopolitics podcast from Stratfor, a RANE company, Rodger Baker, senior vice president of strategic analysis for Stratfor and RANE, looks deeper at the concept of "squeezed states" with Dr. Zurab Khonelidze, the rector of Sokhumi State University, located in the South Caucasus nation of Georgia.

Essential Geopolitics: At the Intersection of Empires, the South Caucasus Gets Squeezed

The Caucasus Mountains on Oct. 9, 2020. Conflict in Nargorno-Karabakh will eventually subside amid renewed negotiations that will have major implications for Russian and Turkish influence in the broader region.

Turkey's Resurgence

Conflict in Nargorno-Karabakh will eventually subside amid renewed negotiations that will have major implications for Russian and Turkish influence in the broader region.

The Southern Caucasus: Where Post-Soviet and Neo-Ottoman Interests Collide

Uganda

Thailand

United Kingdom

Lebanon

Relatives of the five Israeli victims of a suicide blast that targeted a bus of tourists in Bulgaria mourn in Sofia on Aug. 28, 2012.

U.S.-Iran Relations

Iran's Arc of Influence

Recent history indicates that despite its global networks and ambitions, Iran is a far more formidable threat closer to home. 

Iran Will Find Retaliating Against the U.S. Easier in the Middle East

Stratfor Threat Lens

Global Perspectives

Contributor Perspectives

Thanks in part to a blind eye from authorities, Georgia's far-right movement is growing.

Georgia's neo-Nazi movement is growing fast, whether thanks to indifference or connivance on the part of the country's political and ecclesiastical authorities.

In Georgia, It's Open Season for the Far-Right

Georgia is located in the Caucasus region, a transcontinental zone between Europe and Asia, and is surrounded by powerful neighbors that have controlled part or all of the country throughout much of its history. These include Russia to the north, Turkey to the southwest and Iran to the southeast.      Georgia's core is found in the capital city of Tbilisi, where the country's economic, political and demographic resources are concentrated. But because of Georgia's largely mountainous terrain, the country has distinct regional differences and contains various non-Georgian ethnic groups that have traditionally maintained autonomy from Tbilisi. These groups, most notably the Abkhazians and Ossetians to the northwest and north, have posed a separatist problem for the Georgian state. The territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia established de facto independence from Georgia with the help of Russia in a 2008 war.    Because of Georgia's disputes with Russia and its military vulnerability, Tbilisi has sought to integrate with Western blocs like NATO and the European Union. However, Georgia's geographic distance from Europe and its exposure to Russia has made that a difficult prospect. Thus, Tbilisi also seeks supplementary partnerships with countries like Azerbaijan and Turkey. 

SITUATION REPORTS

Georgia: Ruling Party Will Reintroduce Controversial 'Foreign Agents' Bill

Georgia: Top Oligarch Announces Return to Politics

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Georgia for EU Candidate Status

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Granting Georgia EU Candidate Status

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia: 3+3 Format Meeting Held in Iran as Georgia Declines to Attend

Georgia: Constitutional Court Says President Violated Constitution

EU: Bloc Reports on Eurasian Countries' Progress Toward EU Membership

Georgia, Russia: Russia Lifts Flight Ban, Enacts Visa-Free Regime With Georgia

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