situation report

Canada: Liberal Party Projected to Secure a Plurality

1 MIN READOct 22, 2019 | 12:06 GMT

What Happened: With final votes still being tallied from the Oct. 21 general election, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his Liberal Party are projected to walk away with the most seats in Parliament —157 — but fall short of a majority, CBC reported Oct. 22. Although the Conservative Party will likely win the popular vote, its seat count is expected to be just 121.

Why It Matters: The result will likely spare Canada heightened political volatility as Trudeau is expected to form a minority government by relying on the New Democrat Party, Bloc Quebecois and, at times, the Conservative Party to pass legislation. Although minority governments are common in Canada, this will make it more difficult for Trudeau to pass controversial bills and put him at risk of a vote of no confidence.

Background: The Liberal Party and Trudeau lost popularity in the wake of the SNC-Lavalin scandal and of revelations of decades-old pictures showing Trudeau in blackface.

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