What Happened: Some 59 percent of Iranians are in favor of withdrawing the country from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear deal, according to a poll from the Center for International and Security Studies and IranPoll, Al-Monitor reported Oct. 16.
Why It Matters: The poll indicates dwindling support for the JCPOA among Iran's population, which raises the risk that Tehran may withdraw from the deal. The results came as an Iranian legislator said the government could reduce access to the International Atomic Energy Agency for nuclear inspections or suspend the provisional additional protocol of the JCPOA during Tehran's fourth phase of reducing its commitments under the deal.
Background: Suspending IAEA access to specific sites raises the risk of punitive strikes against Iran's nuclear program. While the United States may be unwilling to carry out such an attack, Israel could be more likely to consider such a move after already hitting several Iranian-linked targets in Iraq and Syria.
- Damage to Iranian Tanker Suggests an Intensifying Israeli Campaign (Oct. 15, 2019)
- U.S.: Iran Draws Washington Deeper Into the Middle East (Sept. 27, 2019)
- Iran: Tehran Takes Another Hit at What Remains of the Nuclear Deal (Sept. 6, 2019)