Colombian Peace Process

With President Ivan Duque struggling to roll back legislation for a peace deal involving leftist militants, Colombia may be spared a return to widespread violence.

Now that some of the rebel leaders are on the run for fear of arrest, certain areas of Colombia may see an uptick in violence.

To fulfill many of his campaign promises, including altering the FARC deal, Ivan Duque must first gather enough support from lawmakers.

Ivan Duque will attempt to bring changes to his country's peace deal with FARC and its trade talks after he takes office in August.

Without forging congressional alliances, whoever wins Colombia's upcoming elections could encounter an uphill battle trying to pass legislation.

Leaders of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia can't seem to disassociate themselves from the cocaine trade. The question for the Colombian government is how aggressively can it investigate and prosecute members of the group without reigniting the insurgency.

Intense disputes over cocaine trafficking in Colombia's southwestern Narino department have led many drug traffickers to stake their claims in Ecuador.

The path is smoother for Colombia's left to win this year's presidential elections -- which could leave Washington and mining and energy companies in for a bumpy ride.

As the deadline to pass laws enabling the agreement's key provisions nears, approaching national elections and a brewing referendum raise the risk that the agreement could unravel in 2018.

At this point, it can't be said that the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia will return to militancy. But a referendum planned by the opposition to repeal key parts of the peace agreement may push it there.