China

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Military & Security

Politics

AI models created by DeepSeek, China’s most well-known AI platform, frequently refuse to help or provide security-flawed code to programmers affiliated with entities and subjects deemed sensitive by the Chinese government, The Washington Post reported Sept. 16, citing an experiment shared by cybersecurity company CrowdStrike.

China: DeepSeek's Chatbot Writes Code With More Security Flaws for Politically Sensitive Groups

China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. is testing an immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machine -- similar to the immersion DUVs produced by the Netherlands' ASML -- produced by Shanghai startup Yuliangsheng, the Financial Times reported on Sept. 16.

China: DUV Lithography Machine Trials Begin as Companies Halt Purchases of Nvidia Chip

Economics

Beginning Nov. 1, internet service providers and other “network operators” in China will be required to report breaches and other cyber incidents in between one and four hours to local regulators, depending on the nature of their severity, the Cyberspace Administration of China announced Sept. 15.

China: New Rules Mandate Cyber Incident Reporting in a Matter of Hours

Europe

The EU General Court sided with multinational technology companies Meta and TikTok in a legal ruling that challenged the European Commission's methodology of collecting annual fees from companies in accordance with the Digital Services Act, or DSA, Politico reported on Sept. 10. 

EU: Top Court Sides With Meta, TikTok in Legal Blow to Digital Services Act

United States

U.S. federal officials are investigating a purported Chinese-linked social engineering campaign that impersonated a Republican lawmaker and targeted several trade groups, law firms and government agencies in mid-July, apparently in an effort to garner insights about ongoing U.S.-Chinese trade talks, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sept. 7.

U.S., China: Beijing Threat Actors Impersonated U.S. Lawmaker To Gather Intelligence on Trade Talks

U.S.-China Relations

Artificial intelligence company Anthropic agreed to pay $1.5 billion to settle a copyright infringement lawsuit brought by a group of authors, The New York Times reported on Sept. 5.

U.S.: Anthropic Agrees To Pay Authors for Copyrighted Works in Major Settlement

The European Union's second-highest court rejected a court challenge on Sept. 3 and, in turn, upheld a data transfer agreement between the bloc and the United States, Reuters reported the same day.

U.S., EU: EU Court Rejects Court Challenge, Upholds Data Transfer Pact With U.S.

Stanford researchers found in a study published Aug. 26 that employment for younger workers in artificial intelligence-exposed roles has dropped by 16% since late 2022. 

Cyberspace: Study Finds AI Has Sizable Impact on Reducing Hiring for Entry-Level Workers

<p>Individuals, companies, governments and militaries alike all depend on computers. And as is so often the case, these dependencies create vulnerabilities that have made cybersecurity all the more important as proficiencies in cyber warfare and cyber crime improve. That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age. How governments and their constituents attune themselves to this brave new world will ultimately shape their relationship with the internet &mdash; and with each other.</p>

That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age.

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Security

Modernizing China’s Military

Globalization

Echoes of the Cold War

China in Transition

Assessments

From left to right, Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lee Zeldin listen as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting on Aug. 26, 2025, in Washington, D.C. 

As federal agencies tasked with countering foreign threats are defunded and social media giants relax their rules, the U.S. information space is becoming significantly more vulnerable to state-sponsored manipulation.

U.S. Digital Defenses Weaken, Opening the Door for Nation-State Operations

Media

Podcasts

Essential Geopolitics: What Gabbard's ODNI Cuts Mean for Corporate Security

The Geopolitics of Trade

Global Trade

Protectionist and security-driven data regulations are impeding digital and physical trade, potentially slowing global economic growth and innovation.

The Geopolitics of Trade: Diverging Digital Governance Threatens Data Flows

U.S. President Donald Trump prepares to sign the GENIUS Act in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on July 18, 2025. 

The United States has passed its first major federal cryptocurrency law, boosting institutional interest, but broader public adoption remains constrained by regulatory gaps and ongoing risks.

Cryptocurrency Legislation Advances, Sets New Course for U.S. Cryptocurrency Landscape

A digital illustration shows a digital human head overlaying the EU flag.

Growing internal and U.S. pressure will likely force Brussels to delay or amend its landmark AI law, fueling short-term regulatory uncertainty that could hinder the technology's development in Europe.

The Fate of the EU's Ambitious AI Act

Iran

Israel

What cyber limitations and capabilities do Iran and Israel have?

Essential Geopolitics: Increased Risk of Cyberattacks as Conflict With Iran Escalates

U.S.-Iran Relations

What role does AI play as both a disruptor and a tool in the risk management space? 

Applied Geopolitics: Leveraging AI To Anticipate and Mitigate Geopolitical and Supply Chain Risks 

United Kingdom

Ukraine

Workers at a quarry Feb. 26, 2025 in the Zhytomyr region of Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Von der Leyen Meets Starmer, a U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

Sub-Saharan Africa

Energy

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Social Issues

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

A photo of the U.S. Capitol overlaid with a pixilated blue and red pattern.

The United States will continue to prioritize AI innovation over regulation, and the European Union is set to partially reconsider its rules amid a broader push to increase competitiveness. 

The Future of AI Regulation Under the West's New Leadership

Syria

Russia

Nation-states' growing use of hacktivist personas to obfuscate responsibility will increasingly enable them to attack targets they would otherwise avoid and spread propaganda.

Hacktivism Offers Plausible Deniability for State-Backed Cyber Actors

Angola

Cote d'Ivoire

Ghana

Kenya

Nigeria

Argentina

Brazil

Canada

Ecuador

Mexico

Algeria

Iraq

Jordan

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Tunisia

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

Taiwan

Belarus

Pakistan

World map on a dark digital background representing global communication and global finances.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025

Cyber

SITUATION REPORTS

China: DeepSeek's Chatbot Writes Code With More Security Flaws for Politically Sensitive Groups

China: DUV Lithography Machine Trials Begin as Companies Halt Purchases of Nvidia Chip

China: New Rules Mandate Cyber Incident Reporting in a Matter of Hours

EU: Top Court Sides With Meta, TikTok in Legal Blow to Digital Services Act

U.S., China: Beijing Threat Actors Impersonated U.S. Lawmaker To Gather Intelligence on Trade Talks

U.S.: Anthropic Agrees To Pay Authors for Copyrighted Works in Major Settlement

U.S., EU: EU Court Rejects Court Challenge, Upholds Data Transfer Pact With U.S.

Cyberspace: Study Finds AI Has Sizable Impact on Reducing Hiring for Entry-Level Workers

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