Iran's Arc of Influence

While Lebanon-Israel normalization is unlikely, growing talk of it by Lebanese Christian leaders could fuel anger at pro-Iran groups like Hezbollah seen as standing in the way.

While it remains remote, the risk of a major conflict breaking out between the two regional rivals is slowly growing.

JPCOA talks have hit a wall as Moscow tries to thwart the West's ability to maintain Ukraine-related sanctions by bringing more Iranian oil online.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

A more pragmatic Israeli approach to a possible limited nuclear deal with Iran could extend the life of any JCPOA breakthrough.

If nuclear talks fail, ransomware attacks could enable Tehran to disrupt U.S. critical infrastructure and key sectors as part of an aggressive escalation campaign.

As the gap between what Tehran wants and what the West is willing to accept grows, so too will the risk of negotiations collapsing without even a limited deal.

The high-level visit to Tehran reflects the UAE’s desire for increased dialogue with its long-time regional rival for the sake of security and economic benefits.

Iran-backed militiamen’s failed attack will raise the risk of violence with Iraqi state forces, though it could also bring new clarity to government formation talks.

Tehran’s push to revisit key sticking points bodes ill for a quick compromise once negotiations in Vienna resume later this month.