China

South Korea

Taiwan

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Military & Security

Taiwan asked South Korea to assist in investigating a Chinese-owned cargo ship suspected of cutting an underwater sea cable on Taiwan's north coast on Jan. 3, The Financial Times reported on Jan. 5.

Taiwan: Chinese Vessel Suspected of Sea Cable Incident

Sudan

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Politics

The leader of the Sudanese Armed Forces, or SAF, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan welcomed Turkish proposals to mediate the dispute between Sudan's SAF-led government and the United Arab Emirates, which is widely seen as providing military support to the SAF's rival paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, or RSF, Le Monde reported on Jan. 6.

Sudan: Al-Burhan Welcomes Turkey-Led Mediation With UAE  

Israel

Lebanon

Syria

The Israeli military confirmed that it had been conducting "operational raids" in Syria on Mount Hermon over the past several weeks, The New York Times reported on Jan. 5. 

Israel, Syria: Israel Conducts Operational Raids in Syria

India

The spokesperson for India's Ministry of External Affairs said it had lodged a "solemn protest" with China through diplomatic channels over the latter's establishment of two new counties in its claimed northwest territory of Hotan prefecture, as parts of the two counties are in India's claimed northern union territory of Ladakh, Hindustan Times reported on Jan. 3. 

India, China: India Lodges Protest With China Over New Counties in Disputed Territory

Ethiopia

Somalia

Ethiopian Defense Minister Aisha Mohammed met her Somali counterpart Abdulkadir Mohamed Nur Jama during a trip to Somalia, Addis Standard reported on Jan. 3. 

Ethiopia, Somalia: Defense Ministers Meet in Sign of Easing Bilateral Tensions 

Argentina

Venezuela

Venezuelan opposition leader Edmundo Gonzalez will meet with Argentina's President Javier Milei on Jan. 4 in Buenos Aires, Argentina, ahead of the planned Jan. 10 inauguration of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro for his third term in Caracas, El Pais reported on Jan. 2.

Venezuela: Opposition Leader Edmundo Gonzalez Returns to South America, Fueling Unrest Risks

Chad

Cote d'Ivoire

Gabon

Senegal

France

Ivorian President Alassane Ouattara announced in his New Year's address that France would hand over its Port Bouet military base near Abidjan to the Ivorian military by the end of January, Le Monde reported on Jan. 1.

Cote d'Ivoire: President Ouattara Announces France Will Cede Military Base

Bangladesh

Economics

A court in Bangladesh's southeastern city of Chittagong again denied bail for prominent Hindu leader Krishna Das Prabhu, who is facing sedition charges for leading rallies and allegedly disrespecting the Bangladeshi flag, AP reported on Jan. 2.

Bangladesh: Chittagong Court Again Rejects Bail for Prominent Hindu Leader

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025. 

2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

Ghana

Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro waits for the arrival of other heads of state of members of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America regional trading bloc during the XXIV ALBA-TCP Summit in Caracas, Venezuela, on Dec. 14, 2024. 

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Inaugurations in Ghana and Venezuela, Yoon's Potential Arrest in South Korea

Columns

On Geopolitics

Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags.

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our hits and misses in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2024 Annual Forecast

U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-Iran Relations

Mozambique

Protesters in Maputo prepare to burn a flag of Mozambique's ruling Frelimo party on Oct. 24, 2024. 

The growing economic toll of the unrest will increase the incentives for President-elect Chapo to reach a deal with opposition leader Mondlane, though this would risk triggering infighting within the ruling Frelimo party.

Mozambique's Post-Election Crisis Reaches a Critical Juncture

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Abu Mohammed al-Golani (C), the head of Syria's leading insurgent group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, speaks during a press conference near Syria's northern Bab al Hawa border crossing with Turkey late on March 12, 2024.

Rival Gulf Arab states will pursue divergent goals amid Syria's evolving political transition, raising the likelihood of factionalism and resurging violence in the war-torn country. 

Gulf States' Competing Interests Could Disrupt Syria's Political Transition

United States

Iran

Palestinian Territories

North Korea

Ukraine

Russia

As 2025 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five events as measured by geopolitical impact.

2024: A Geopolitical Review

Global Elections

Australia

Nauru

Papua New Guinea

Solomon Islands

The flags of Australia, the Solomon Islands, Nauru and Papua New Guinea clockwise starting from the upper left. Canberra will have to fulfill its commitments to keep Beijing's influence at bay as island countries play the two off each other.

Canberra will have to fulfill its commitments to keep Beijing's influence at bay as island countries play the two off each other. 

Australian Efforts to Counter China in the Pacific Will Require Follow-Through

Jordan

Walid Jumblatt, the Druze former leader of Lebanon's Progressive Socialist Party, and his son and current party head, Taymur Jumblatt, meet with Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, interim prime minister Mohammad al-Bashir and other Druze leaders during a Dec. 22 visit to Damascus, Syria. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham's leadership in Syria will likely embolden Islamists in both Lebanon and Jordan, while Syria's turbulent political transition will likely prompt another wave of refugees into both neighboring countries.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham's leadership in Syria will likely embolden Islamists in both Lebanon and Jordan, while Syria's turbulent political transition will likely prompt another wave of refugees into both neighboring countries.

Gauging the Regional Fallout of Syrian Regime Change

Statements made by Trump and his allies, including Elon Musk, offer insight into how his next administration will approach the regulation (or lack thereof) of AI, online content, data and monopolistic business practices.

Previewing Trump's Tech Policies

Anti-riot police officers with dogs walk past burning barricades made by protesters in Maputo, Mozambique, on Nov. 7, 2024. 

The Weekly Rundown: A New French Government, a Ruling on Mozambique's Disputed Election

Media

Podcasts

What can Trump's nominees for positions in Middle Eastern diplomacy tell us about his approach to the region?

Essential Geopolitics: U.S.-Middle East Relations Under a Second Trump Term

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

What is the future trajectory of the peace process?

Essential Geopolitics: Implications of Cancelled Peace Talks between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

Taiwan: Chinese Vessel Suspected of Sea Cable Incident

Sudan: Al-Burhan Welcomes Turkey-Led Mediation With UAE

Israel, Syria: Israel Conducts Operational Raids in Syria

India, China: India Lodges Protest With China Over New Counties in Disputed Territory

Ethiopia, Somalia: Defense Ministers Meet in Sign of Easing Bilateral Tensions

Venezuela: Opposition Leader Edmundo Gonzalez Returns to South America, Fueling Unrest Risks

Cote d'Ivoire: President Ouattara Announces France Will Cede Military Base

Bangladesh: Chittagong Court Again Rejects Bail for Prominent Hindu Leader

Forecasts

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