United States

North Korea

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Military & Security

The U.S. Department of Justice announced on June 30 two indictments, an arrest and the seizure of hundreds of financial accounts, fraudulent websites and laptops linked to North Korea’s fraudulent IT worker schemes at U.S. companies.

U.S., North Korea: DOJ Announces Crackdown on North Korean IT Workers

Iran

An Iranian-linked threat group that previously hacked U.S. President Donald Trump's 2024 campaign is now threatening to release another trove of emails from his associates, including White House chief of staff Susie Wiles and personal advisor Roger Stone, Reuters reported June 30.

U.S.: Iranian Threat Actors Threaten To Release Emails Linked to Trump Aides

U.S.-Iran Relations

Azerbaijan

Russia

Politics

Azerbaijani police raided the offices of Russia's state-funded news outlet Sputnik in Baku and arrested an undisclosed number of the network's workers over the outlet's continued operation after the revocation of its accreditation in February, AP reported on June 30.

Azerbaijan, Russia: Tensions Increase Following Police Raids of Sputnik's Offices in Baku

Turkey

Turkey's Izmir prosecutor ordered the detention of 157 people, many of whom are members of the opposition Republican People's Party, or CHP, including a former mayor of Izmir, a CHP provincial chair and other former members of the city administration, Hurriyet reported on July 1.

Turkey: 157 Opposition Figures Arrested in Izmir Crackdown

China

Japan

Philippines

Economics

Philippine military leaders, in tandem with the United States and Japan, are operationalizing a "one-theater" concept to unify defense planning across the East and South China seas, which Japan and the Philippines, respectively, dispute with China, Reuters reported on June 30. 

Philippines, U.S., Japan: Countries Deepen Unified Security Front and Infrastructure Collaboration

Europe

Ukraine

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine's government announced on June 29 that overnight, Russia had launched what Kyiv described as its biggest air attack since the beginning of the war in February 2022, The Kyiv Independent reported the same day.

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Launches Major Air Attack Amid Stalled Negotiations

Australia

United Kingdom

Australia's Defense Department slashed maintenance and training budgets by 10% to help pay for AUKUS submarines and missile purchases, sparking warnings that Australian Defense Force personnel, warships and aircraft were no longer fully operational, The Australian Financial Review reported on June 27. 

Australia: Naval Deficiencies Spell More Risk for AUKUS

China removed Gen. Miao Hua from the Central Military Commission and expelled Navy Chief of Staff Vice Adm. Li Hanjun and nuclear scientist Liu Shipeng from the National People's Congress, marking a sharp escalation in Chinese President Xi Jinping's military purge, the South China Morning Post reported on June 27. 

China: Removal of Commanders, Nuclear Scientist Signals Deepening Military Purge

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Snapshots

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C) speaks during a peace agreement signing ceremony between Congolese Foreign Minister Therese Kayikwamba Wagner (R) and Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe in the Treaty Room of the State Department in Washington, D.C., on June 27, 2025. 

The peace agreement opens Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo up to significant economic opportunities, but disagreements over interpretation and continued proxy violence risk stalling the deal’s implementation.

A Fragile Peace Takes Shape Between Congo and Rwanda

Assessments

Israel-Hamas Conflict

The third quarter of 2025 will be defined by disruptive trade policies fueling supply chain volatility and the persistent risk of escalation in major conflicts.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Israel

India

A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Global Trade

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

Pakistan

Water runs in the Gurez valley in India-administered Jammu and Kashmir, near the India-Pakistan border, on June 3, 2025. 

Diplomatic talks between India and Pakistan will likely remain stalled due to ongoing airspace closures and disputes over water-sharing, sustaining the risk of a future conflict following the two countries' military confrontation earlier this year.

Unresolved Tensions: Water, Airspace and the Future of India-Pakistan Diplomacy

Media

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Third-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

An oil tanker is seen at Saudi Arabia’s port of Ras al-Khair. 

Energy

Despite the ceasefire, the risk of a renewed conflict remains, which could again drive oil prices higher if Iran and/or its proxies begin attacking regional oil infrastructure and shipping.

Assessing the Oil Market Volatility Caused by the Israel-Iran War

Armenia

Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan addresses the crowd with a megaphone during a protest in Yerevan, Armenia, on Oct. 25, 2024. 

The prime minister's escalating dispute with the national church threatens to generate unrest and derail already delayed efforts to implement a contentious peace deal with rival Azerbaijan.

In Armenia, an Archbishop's Arrest Escalates the Prime Minister's Feud With the Church

New Zealand

People are seen behind a New Zealand flag during a ceremony celebrating the anniversary of Anzac Day. 

Prime Minister Luxon's recent trip to China marked a high-stakes diplomatic mission aimed at both deepening economic ties with Beijing and signaling New Zealand's more assertive regional posture.

New Zealand's Pivot: Assertive Defense Meets Economic Dependence on China

Iranian missiles aimed at targets in Israel pass through the sky over the West Bank on June 17, 2025. 

Even if the ceasefire holds in the coming weeks and months, outstanding U.S. and Israeli concerns with Iran's ballistic missile and nuclear programs could reignite hostilities.

The Iran-Israel Ceasefire Will Remain Fragile Amid Unresolved Disputes

Podcasts

What cyber limitations and capabilities do Iran and Israel have?

Essential Geopolitics: Increased Risk of Cyberattacks as Conflict With Iran Escalates

Qatar

A photo taken on June 23, 2025, shows the remnants of an Iranian missile intercepted over Qatar. 

Absent further retaliation, Iran's June 23 attack offers a path to de-escalation, but there is still a chance, albeit slim, that additional U.S. strikes trigger a wider conflict.

With a Telegraphed Attack on a U.S. Base in Qatar, Iran Offers an Off-Ramp To Ease Tensions

Netherlands

Spain

The entrance of the building where the 2025 NATO summit will be held is seen in The Hague, the Netherlands, on June 22, 2025.

The June 24-25 summit will likely yield a political agreement on higher defense spending and highlight Europe's move toward greater defense autonomy, though structural and financial limitations will make it hard to maintain this shift over time. 

Previewing the 2025 NATO Summit

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., North Korea: DOJ Announces Crackdown on North Korean IT Workers

U.S.: Iranian Threat Actors Threaten To Release Emails Linked to Trump Aides

Azerbaijan, Russia: Tensions Increase Following Police Raids of Sputnik's Offices in Baku

Turkey: 157 Opposition Figures Arrested in Izmir Crackdown

Philippines, U.S., Japan: Countries Deepen Unified Security Front and Infrastructure Collaboration

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Launches Major Air Attack Amid Stalled Negotiations

Australia: Naval Deficiencies Spell More Risk for AUKUS

China: Removal of Commanders, Nuclear Scientist Signals Deepening Military Purge

Forecasts

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