United States

Ukraine

Russia

Military & Security

Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky did not sign a critical minerals deal as planned after a tense Oval Office meeting, which Trump concluded by saying, "You either make a deal, or we are out. You don’t have the cards," The New York Times reported on Feb. 28.

U.S., Ukraine: Washington and Kyiv Spar at White House, Fail To Conclude Mineral Deal

Brunei Darussalam

Cambodia

China

Indonesia

Laos

Malaysia

Myanmar

Philippines

Singapore

Thailand

Vietnam

Five diplomats with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations said China was increasingly likely to agree to make the long unrealized South China Sea code of conduct legally binding, The Straits Times reported on Feb. 28.

ASEAN, China: Expectations Rising for South China Sea Code of Conduct

Mexico

Economics

U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi issued a statement on Feb. 27 stating that Mexican authorities released 29 individuals linked to drug cartels, including some high-ranking cartel members, into U.S. custody the same day, Reuters reported on Feb. 28.

U.S., Mexico: Mexico Releases 29 Cartel Members Into U.S. Custody

Ethiopia

Somalia

The Ethiopian and Somali militaries reached an understanding aimed at strengthening security cooperation and regional stability following Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's visit to Mogadishu, Addis Standard reported on Feb. 27. 

Somalia, Ethiopia: Military Pact To Improve Regional Stability

Syria

Turkey

The commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces, or SDF, said imprisoned Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, leader Abdullah Ocalan's Feb. 27 call for the PKK to disarm and disband "is not related to us in Syria," Reuters reported the same day.

Syria, Turkey: SDF Commander Says Ocalan's Call for PKK Disbandment 'Not Related to Us'

The Ukrainian DeepState monitoring group reported that parts of Ukraine's Sumy region near the village of Novenke had become a grey zone due to Russian attacks on the flanks of Ukrainian forces holding a foothold in Russia's adjacent Kursk region, Kyiv Independent reported Feb. 28.

Ukraine, Russia: Ukraine Confirms Russian Forces Enter Sumy Region

Burundi

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

The Burundian military is still present in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's eastern South Kivu province and has reinforced its military presence around the Congolese city of Uvira, Radio France Internationale reported on Feb. 26.

Congo, Burundi: Burundian Forces Reportedly Reinforcing Presence in Congo's South Kivu Province

Abdullah Ocalan, the founder of the Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, called on the group to lay down arms and end its resistance to the Turkish state in a press conference with the pro-Kurdish Peoples' Equality and Democracy Party, or DEM Party, Al-Monitor reported on Feb. 27.

Turkey: PKK Founder Calls on Group To Lay Down Arms and Dissolve

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

Cyber

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Columns

On Geopolitics

A map of the United States from 1897. While a revisionist America could lead to a more stable world order, it would be much more likely to lead to greater uncertainty, volatility, and conflict.

While a revisionist America could lead to a more stable world order, it would be much more likely to lead to greater uncertainty, volatility, and conflict.

What a Revisionist U.S. Foreign Policy Could Mean for the World

U.S.-China Relations

Assessments

Canada

Israel

Palestinian Territories

A truck drives toward the Canada-U.S. border crossing in Blackpool, Canada, on Feb. 2, 2025.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: An EU Summit on Ukraine, U.S. Tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China

Snapshots

Chile

Chile's President Gabriel Boric speaks during the "Palestinian Christmas: From Bethlehem to Chile, a light of hope" ceremony in Santiago on Dec. 17, 2024.

Social Issues

During his last year in office, Chilean President Gabriel Boric will moderate his economic policy and bolster security to unify his coalition and reflect voters' changing priorities.

In Chile, What To Expect From Boric's Last Year in Office

An Israeli army vehicle patrols near the fence leading into the U.N.-patrolled buffer zone, which separates Israeli and Syrian forces in the Golan Heights, on Jan. 5, 2025. 

An open-ended Israeli military campaign in southern Syria risks destabilizing the country's fragile political transition and pushing Damascus back toward anti-Israeli forces like Hezbollah and Iran.

Israel's Effort To Secure Post-Assad Syria Risks Doing the Opposite

Iraq

Syrian Kurds wave independence-era flags in support of the U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces on Dec. 19, 2024, in the northeastern Syrian city of Qamishli.

A rapprochement would boost the odds of Turkish constitutional reform needed to give Erdogan another term, while its failure could presage regionwide violence.

Hints Emerge of a Turkish-Kurdish Thaw

Minerals are loaded onto trucks at an open-pit mine in Ukraine's Donetsk region, near the frontline of the war with Russia, on Feb. 26, 2025.

The deal, while largely political for now, could influence the course of the war by justifying continued U.S. aid to Ukraine, potentially delaying any ceasefire with Russia.

The Viability and Potential Impact of the U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

Algeria

Egypt

Libya

Morocco

Tunisia

Egyptians protest in front of the Rafah border crossing, rejecting the proposed displacement of Palestinians in Gaza to Egypt and Jordan, on Jan. 31, 2025. 

Energy

Pro-Palestinian protests will persist regionwide amid allegations of Israeli ceasefire violations, but Morocco and Egypt will avoid taking action that could jeopardize their access to Israeli weapons and energy.

How Will North African Governments Respond to Ardent Pro-Palestinian Sentiment?

Media

Podcasts

How will the global risk landscape evolve over the course of the year?

Essential Geopolitics: RANE's Forecast Trends for 2025

Germany

CDU leader Friedrich Merz (left) and the party's secretary general, Carsten Linnemann, hold a post-election press conference in Berlin, Germany, on Feb. 24, 2025. 

Environment, Science & Technology

Germany's new government will likely be more stable than its predecessor, enabling the CDU/CSU to pursue economic stimulus and a more assertive foreign policy.

German Election Results Position the Center-Right To Retake the Helm

Global Elections

South Africa

South Korea

France

United Kingdom

The Reichstag on Jan. 22 in Berlin. The center-right alliance between the Christian Democratic Union and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union, is widely expected to emerge as the largest bloc in the Bundestag after the Feb. 23 general election and lead the next coalition government.

The Weekly Rundown: German Elections, Macron and Starmer Meet Trump

Chad

Uganda

Members of the M23 rebel group are seen in Bukavu, eastern Congo, after the takeover of the city on Feb. 20, 2025.

Burundi's reported troop withdrawal and Uganda's apparent unwillingness to intervene against the AFC/M23 rebel group will limit the immediate risk of an escalating interstate conflict, but this could change if the rebels start advancing toward central Congo.

Assessing the Risk of an Expanded Conflict in Congo

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol (second from right) attends the fifth hearing of his impeachment trial over his short-lived imposition of martial law at the Constitutional Court in Seoul on Feb. 4, 2025.

South Korea’s top court will likely uphold Yoon’s impeachment, clearing the way for a more progressive government. But the alternate scenario in which Yoon remains in office and fuels more protests and political instability cannot be ruled out. 

In South Korea, Yoon's Ouster Will Resolve Political Instability -- For Now

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Ukraine: Washington and Kyiv Spar at White House, Fail To Conclude Mineral Deal

ASEAN, China: Expectations Rising for South China Sea Code of Conduct

U.S., Mexico: Mexico Releases 29 Cartel Members Into U.S. Custody

Somalia, Ethiopia: Military Pact To Improve Regional Stability

Syria, Turkey: SDF Commander Says Ocalan's Call for PKK Disbandment 'Not Related to Us'

Ukraine, Russia: Ukraine Confirms Russian Forces Enter Sumy Region

Congo, Burundi: Burundian Forces Reportedly Reinforcing Presence in Congo's South Kivu Province

Turkey: PKK Founder Calls on Group To Lay Down Arms and Dissolve

Forecasts

ANALYSES

SECTIONS

Explore

Subscribe

Help & Support