Ukraine

Russia

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

In a June 26 letter to the International Maritime Organization (IMO), Ukraine argued that it could legally attack Russian shadow fleet vessels, contending tankers transporting Russian oil and gas should be treated as ordinary commercial ships, given their role in generating revenue for Russia's war effort, the Financial Times reported June 30.

Ukraine, Russia: IMO Dispute Will Increase Shadow Fleet Scrutiny

South Africa

Social Issues

Tens of thousands of protesters marched in anti-migration demonstrations June 30 across South Africa, following an informal deadline set by anti-immigration groups for employers to terminate the employment of undocumented foreign nationals by that date, RFI reported July 1.

South Africa: Migrant Homes and Businesses Targeted in Anti-Migration Marches, Over 900 Arrested

United States

Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump indicated a willingness to allow U.S.-Iran negotiations to extend beyond the official Aug. 18 deadline, despite being briefed on escalatory military operations against Iran, The Wall Street Journal reported June 30.

U.S., Iran: Trump Indicates Preference for Diplomacy Despite Briefing on Military Options

U.S.-Iran Relations

China

Taiwan

The deputy director-general of Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration (CGA), Hsieh Ching-chin, told lawmakers on July 1 that Taiwanese ships should ignore boarding and inspection requests from Chinese vessels.

Taiwan: Coast Guard Official Pledges Intervention With Chinese Vessels, Raising Escalation Risks 

Singapore

Environment, Science & Technology

Singaporean authorities filed new fraud and money laundering charges as part of a broader probe into alleged false claims about the final users of servers that may contain Nvidia chips subject to U.S. export controls aimed at limiting Chinese access to advanced artificial intelligence technology, Channel News Asia reported July 1.

Singapore: Enforcement Action Highlights AI Chip Transshipment Risk

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

The Rwanda-backed M23 rebel movement has increased its total manpower to around 30,000 troops in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, while Rwanda has deployed 14,000 and 18,000 more military personnel to the area, Bloomberg reported June 30, citing U.N. findings.

Congo: M23 Amasses 30,000 Troops in the East, Consolidates Parallel Administration 

Seychelles

India

Politics

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi concluded a three-day visit to the Seychelles on June 29, during which the two countries signed 19 agreements on sectors ranging from maritime security, healthcare and digital public infrastructure, the Seychelles News Agency reported June 30.

Seychelles, India: Modi Completes State Visit, Secures Return of Military Advisers to Island Nation

Oman

Oman has submitted a proposal to Western countries that shipping companies pay voluntary service fees to transit the Strait of Hormuz days after reportedly warning European countries that the prewar status quo could not reemerge, while Iranian officials have called the fees mandatory, The New York Times reported June 30.

U.S., Iran: Oman Proposes Plan for Voluntary Services Fees in Strait of Hormuz

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

Cyber

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Belarus

An officer of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine stands on a destroyed bridge over the Dnipro River, which forms the state border between Ukraine and Belarus, on June 1, 2026.

The threat of Ukrainian retaliatory strikes and Belarus's limited offensive capabilities will likely keep Minsk from directly entering the conflict, but the country will remain a critical base for Russian military pressure against Ukraine and NATO.

Despite Russian Pressure, Belarus Remains Unlikely to Join the Ukraine War

Snapshots

Sudan

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Sudan's de facto leader and army chief, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, waves to spectators after attending a soccer match at Kober Stadium in Khartoum on May 15, 2026.

The outbreak of the Iran war has redirected Western and Arab diplomatic attention away from Sudan, worsening the country's long-running civil war.

Humanitarian Disaster Looms in Sudan as RSF Prepares New Offensive

Computer chips are seen on top of the U.S. and Chinese flags.

The Trump administration's recent shift to a more restrictive, ad-hoc licensing regime for frontier AI models risks slowing U.S. innovation and giving Chinese rivals a competitive advantage.

From Laissez-Faire to Licensing: Understanding Trump's Evolving AI Strategy

U.S.-China Relations

Economics

Energy

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Canada

Mexico

Japan

United Kingdom

Cargo ships June 19 off the coast of the Khor Fakkan Container Terminal in Sharjah emirate, along the Gulf of Oman.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Japan's Takaichi Goes to India, an Unsteady U.S.-Iran Ceasefire

Israel

Lebanon

Maps4media-processed Sentinel-2 satellite imagery shows a broad overview of the Strait of Hormuz on June 16, 2026.

U.S.-Iran talks will face increasingly large obstacles as negotiators approach more contentious topics, namely Iran's nuclear program.

For the U.S. and Iran, the Hardest Negotiations Lie Ahead

Bahrain

Kuwait

Qatar

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C, top) meets with GCC foreign ministers during his visit to the Middle East to discuss with Arab Gulf allies the interim deal between the U.S. and Iran on June 25 in Manama.

While Qatar and Saudi Arabia explore restoring trade ties with Iran, the United Arab Emirates is aligning its security with Israel and the United States.

Divergent Approaches to Iran Expose Gulf Arab Splits

Colombia

Venezuela

Abelardo de la Espriella, who has since been declared president-elect, waves to supporters after casting his vote during the runoff election on June 21, 2026, in Barranquilla, Colombia. 

De la Espriella's administration will reverse many of the outgoing government's security, economic and social policies, restoring a hard-line anti-crime approach and deepening ties with the United States.

What de la Espriella's Victory Means for Colombia

Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodriguez speaks with journalists following a session at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) regarding the Essequibo region in The Hague on May 11. 

Risk-tolerant investors stand to benefit from unprecedented regulatory changes and direct resource access, but face the risk of reforms being unwound by a future Venezuelan government.


Venezuela's Outlook and Implications for Strategic Sectors, 6 Months After Maduro's Capture

Botswana

Lesotho

Namibia

Eswatini

Vessels at anchorage June 18 in Bandar Abbas, Iran, along the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding signed June 17 is highly likely to remain in effect over the coming week, and negotiations toward a final deal will begin.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S. and Iranian Talks, Colombia's Presidential Runoff

Cockroach Janta Party founder Abhijeet Dipke (center) participates in a protest in Amritsar, India, on June 13, 2026.

While the Cockroach Janta Party has so far struggled to convert its online popularity into large street protests, worsening economic grievances among India's youth could catalyze the movement's growth.

Can India's Viral 'Cockroach' Party Mobilize a Gen Z Uprising?

Algeria

The Council of the National Assembly, Algeria's primary legislative body, is seen in Algiers.

Upcoming elections are unlikely to change the pro-president composition of Algeria's lower house, making significant policy change or reforms unlikely.

Algeria's Parliamentary Elections Will Yield Policy Continuity

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

Ukraine, Russia: IMO Dispute Will Increase Shadow Fleet Scrutiny

South Africa: Migrant Homes and Businesses Targeted in Anti-Migration Marches, Over 900 Arrested

U.S., Iran: Trump Indicates Preference for Diplomacy Despite Briefing on Military Options

Taiwan: Coast Guard Official Pledges Intervention With Chinese Vessels, Raising Escalation Risks

Singapore: Enforcement Action Highlights AI Chip Transshipment Risk

Congo: M23 Amasses 30,000 Troops in the East, Consolidates Parallel Administration

Seychelles, India: Modi Completes State Visit, Secures Return of Military Advisers to Island Nation

U.S., Iran: Oman Proposes Plan for Voluntary Services Fees in Strait of Hormuz

Forecasts

ANALYSES

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