El Salvador

Military & Security

Politics

Social Issues

El Salvador's Legislative Assembly approved a constitutional reform that allows the president -- currently Nayib Bukele -- to be reelected indefinitely, Reuters reported on July 31.

El Salvador: Bukele Consolidates Power as Legislative Assembly Removes Presidential Term Limits

Israel

Palestinian Territories

On July 27, Israel announced 10-hour pauses in fighting in parts of the Gaza Strip -- specifically Al-Mawasi, Deir al-Balah and Gaza City -- to facilitate humanitarian aid delivery, according to the Times of Israel on July 28. 

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Limited Humanitarian Aid, Airdrops Enter Gaza

Mexico

United States

Economics

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum signed a new telecommunications law into law, which will take effect on July 17, El Economista reported July 16. 

Mexico: Government to Expand Internet Access, Cut Costs with New Telecom Law

Panama

Panamanian authorities suspended access to internet and mobile phone services in Bocas del Toro after President Jose Raul Mulino declared a state of emergency in the province following nearly two months of protests, Deutsche Welle reported June 21. 

Panama: State of Emergency on Protest-Ridden Province Unlikely to End Demonstrations in the Long Term 

Colombia

More than 70,000 people marched across 20 cities in Colombia to rebuke rising violence and the assassination attempt of right-wing Senator and presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe, El Pais reported June 15.

Colombia: Marches Against Assassination Attempt Highlight Government's Dwindling Popular Support 

A bill that would have dissolved Israel's Knesset was rejected in a 61-53 vote in the legislature on June 12, after the two religious parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, Shas and United Torah Judaism, backed off their threats to support the motion upon reaching a last-minute compromise on ultra-Orthodox conscription, The New York Times has reported.

Israel: Netanyahu Survives Knesset Vote to Dissolve Itself After Last-Minute Compromise With Religious Parties 

The Los Angeles Police Department announced that it made "mass arrests" overnight on June 10-11 as police enforced the first night of a curfew in the downtown area of the city, but there were far fewer disturbances compared to prior evenings, The New York Times reported June 11. 

U.S.: LAPD Makes Mass Arrests as Protests Spread, Judge Sets Hearing on Trump Troop Move

A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order preventing the U.S. Department of Homeland Security from implementing its 22 May decision to revoke the certificate of the Harvard University Student and Exchange Visitor Program.

U.S.: Judge Blocks Trump Administration's Effort to Bar Harvard From Enrolling Foreign Students

Assessments

Brazil

The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil. 

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

The 30th U.N. Climate Change Conference is poised to highlight the enduring impasse between developed and developing nations, particularly regarding financial responsibilities and the transition from fossil fuels.

A Breakthrough on Climate Targets is Unlikely at Brazil's COP30

Saudi Arabia

An aerial photo shows the Saudi capital of Riyadh.

An aspiring middle power, Riyadh must still balance ancient imperatives with modern challenges before it reaches the kind of geopolitical security enjoyed by neighbors like Turkey, Iran and Egypt.

The Modern Geopolitics of Saudi Arabia

Kenya

Kenyan forces stand next to the coffin of former Prime Minister Raila Odinga during a funeral mass at Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology on October 19, 2025 in Bondo, Kenya.

The death of veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga creates a significant power vacuum, fundamentally altering the political calculations ahead of the 2027 elections.


What Raila Odinga's Death Means for Kenyan Politics

Columns

On Security

An aerial view of the IAD71 Amazon Web Services data center is seen on July 17, 2024, in Ashburn, Virginia. 

AI's displacement of workers, the environmental impact of data centers and fears of pervasive surveillance are creating a potent mix of grievances likely to fuel violent extremism against targets associated with the technology.

The Coming Violent Backlash Against AI

France

Portugal

Spain

Italy

An anti-tourism protest in June in Barcelona, Spain. Anti-tourism sentiment is certain to grow in major tourist destinations, though it will be unevenly distributed globally, particularly as the tourism sector could face potential challenges in the future.

Anti-tourism sentiment is certain to grow in major tourist destinations, though it will be unevenly distributed globally, particularly as the tourism sector could face potential challenges in the future.

The Causes and Implications of the Rise in Anti-Tourism Sentiment

The crime scene where political activist Charlie Kirk was shot and killed Sept. 11 at Utah Valley University in Orem, Utah. Political violence in the United States and other Western countries is becoming harder to define. 

Political Instability & Social Unrest

While ideologically amorphous violence is deeply troubling, it fits into the overall wave of political violence in which the United States finds itself -- and the overall trajectory of more violence likely for the foreseeable future.

The Charlie Kirk Assassination Highlights the Rise of Political Violence Without a Clear Ideology 

Snapshots

China

Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama looks on as offerings presented by Buddhist followers are laid on a table during a Long Life Prayer offering ceremony at the Main Tibetan Temple in McLeod Ganj, near the Indian city of Dharamshala, on June 30, 2025. 

New clarity over the 90-year-old spiritual leader's succession plans threatens to reignite Western criticism of China's treatment of Tibetans and revive reputational risks for Western businesses active in China.

Dalai Lama's Succession Plan Revives Tibet Issue for China and the West

U.S.-China Relations

National Guard troops stand in front of a government building during a protest in Los Angeles, California, on June 8, 2025. 

The White House's deployment of National Guard troops to the Los Angeles protests reflects an increasingly aggressive mass deportation effort, and intense pushback against it, that set the stage for more unrest, legal standoffs and economic uncertainty.

By Deploying the National Guard to LA, Trump Doubles Down on His Mass Deportation Efforts

Poland

Supporters of the PiS party demonstrate April 12 in Warsaw, Poland. Poland will hold a presidential election May 18 and runoff June 1 if no candidate obtains more than 50% in the first round.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The outcome of Poland's election will determine whether Prime Minister Donald Tusk's centrist government will coexist with a cooperative president or continue to face institutional constraints from an ideologically opposed president.

Poland's Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Global Elections

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Cyber

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

U.S.-Iran Relations

South Africa

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa arrives at a briefing at his African National Congress (ANC) party's headquarters in Johannesburg on May 13, 2024.

South Africa will struggle to meet Trump's demands for major foreign and domestic policy changes, which will risk exposing the country to disruptive U.S. economic retaliation, including entity-based sanctions.

Trump Turns Up the Heat on South Africa

Chile

Chile's President Gabriel Boric speaks during the "Palestinian Christmas: From Bethlehem to Chile, a light of hope" ceremony in Santiago on Dec. 17, 2024.

During his last year in office, Chilean President Gabriel Boric will moderate his economic policy and bolster security to unify his coalition and reflect voters' changing priorities.

Social Issues

SITUATION REPORTS

El Salvador: Bukele Consolidates Power as Legislative Assembly Removes Presidential Term Limits

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Limited Humanitarian Aid, Airdrops Enter Gaza

Mexico: Government to Expand Internet Access, Cut Costs with New Telecom Law

Panama: State of Emergency on Protest-Ridden Province Unlikely to End Demonstrations in the Long Term

Colombia: Marches Against Assassination Attempt Highlight Government's Dwindling Popular Support

Israel: Netanyahu Survives Knesset Vote to Dissolve Itself After Last-Minute Compromise With Religious Parties

U.S.: LAPD Makes Mass Arrests as Protests Spread, Judge Sets Hearing on Trump Troop Move

U.S.: Judge Blocks Trump Administration's Effort to Bar Harvard From Enrolling Foreign Students

Forecasts

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