Colombia

Economics

Politics

Social Issues

Colombian President Gustavo Petro announced he would call a popular consultation for voters to decide on his health and labor reforms amid a lack of support for both proposals in Congress, El Pais reported March 11.

Colombia: Public Consultation Proposal on Reform Agenda to Fuel Polarization

China

India

The Dalai Lama -- the spiritual leader of Tibetan Buddhism -- released his new book on March 11, in which he stated, "Since the purpose of a reincarnation is to carry on the work of the predecessor, the new Dalai Lama will be born in the free world," which he described as outside of China, according to a review of the book by Reuters. 

China: Dalai Lama Says Successor to be Born Outside of China

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Israel's energy minister, Eli Cohen, announced that the Israeli government would cut off electricity supplies to Gaza in an effort to pressure Hamas to extend the ceasefire deal and release more Israeli hostages, AP reported March 9.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Cuts Electricity to Gaza

United States

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission announced on Feb. 20 a public inquiry into major tech platforms' content moderation policies and decisions to ban users over the content of their speech or affiliations. 

U.S.: FTC Launches Tech Censorship Inquiry

Australia

Australian mining magnate and billionaire Clive Palmer launched a new U.S. President Donald Trump-inspired right-wing populist party to compete in the 2025 election dubbed the Trumpet of Patriots Party, the Australian Broadcasting Corp. reported on Feb. 19. 

Australia: Mining Magnate Launches Potential Spoiler, Trump-Inspired Party Before Elections

Pakistan

Pakistan's military media wing announced that a military court had sentenced 60 civilians to prison terms ranging from two to 10 years for their involvement in attacks on military facilities following the 2023 arrest of former Prime Minister Imran Khan, Reuters reported Dec. 27.

Pakistan: Pakistan's Military Court Sentences 60 More Civilians to Prison Terms of up to 10 Years

The United States, United Kingdom and European Union criticized Pakistan for trying 25 civilians in military courts following attacks on military facilities in 2023 after the arrest of former Prime Minister Imran Khan, AP reported on Dec. 24.

Pakistan: U.S., U.K. and EU Raise Concerns Over Pakistan's Military Court Sentencing of Civilians

Ghana

Ghana's Supreme Court dismissed two petitions challenging the constitutionality of the Human Sexual Rights and Family Values bill, which would increase prison sentences for LGBTQ+ individuals and rights group members, MyJoyOnline reported on Dec. 18. 

Ghana: Supreme Court Dismisses Legal Challenges Against Anti-LGBTQ+ Bill 	

Assessments

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Cyber

Energy

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-Iran Relations

South Africa

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa arrives at a briefing at his African National Congress (ANC) party's headquarters in Johannesburg on May 13, 2024.

South Africa will struggle to meet Trump's demands for major foreign and domestic policy changes, which will risk exposing the country to disruptive U.S. economic retaliation, including entity-based sanctions.

Trump Turns Up the Heat on South Africa

Snapshots

Chile

Chile's President Gabriel Boric speaks during the "Palestinian Christmas: From Bethlehem to Chile, a light of hope" ceremony in Santiago on Dec. 17, 2024.

During his last year in office, Chilean President Gabriel Boric will moderate his economic policy and bolster security to unify his coalition and reflect voters' changing priorities.

In Chile, What To Expect From Boric's Last Year in Office

Columns

On Geopolitics

Armenia

Ukraine

Azerbaijan

Russia

Crowds of Palestinians gather to receive food outside a U.N. aid distribution center in the Gazan city of Deir al-Balah on Nov. 2, 2024.

The displacement of any Palestinians from the Gaza Strip will further erode post-World War II norms against population transfers, laying the groundwork for future global conflicts.

Trump's Gaza Plan Risks Further Eroding Global Constraints on Population Removals

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

Kenya

Rwanda

Lebanon

Sri Lanka

Damage on Feb. 13 in the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Mideast Ceasefires and Arab Gaza Proposals, the AU Summit

Tanzania

Brazil

Cuba

Haiti

Nicaragua

Venezuela

Iraq

Jordan

Syria

Yemen

Cambodia

Indonesia

North Macedonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Serbia

Albania

Kosovo

Afghanistan

Bangladesh

The lobby of the headquarters for the U.S. Agency for International Development is seen on Feb. 3, 2025, in Washington, D.C. 

Cuts to U.S.-funded humanitarian and development programs could worsen global health outcomes, destabilize security environments, accelerate democratic backsliding, and create opportunities for rival powers to expand their influence.

The Global Implications of Trump's Foreign Aid Cuts

While government reforms will help catalyze much-needed investments in water infrastructure, these are unlikely to rapidly resolve the country's water supply challenges, which threaten to undermine South Africa's economic growth amid more frequent droughts. 

The Geopolitics of Water: The Cascading Effects of South African Underinvestment in Water Infrastructure

The Geopolitics of Water

Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags. Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

2025 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Turkey

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan addresses Turkey's parliament on Oct. 1, 2024, in Ankara. 

Ankara's efforts could fail if the pro-Kurdish DEM Party makes extensive demands or if widespread PKK violence breaks out.

To Gain Support for Its Constitutional Reform, Turkey's Government Turns to the Kurds

Mexico

National Action Party Sen. Miguel Angel Yunes Linares (L) addresses lawmakers in the legislature's upper house about the judicial reform proposed by the government in Congress in Mexico City, Mexico, on Sept. 10, 2024. 

A series of interventionist constitutional reforms is putting Mexico's private sector on edge, but global de-risking will likely continue to attract foreign investment in the long term.

Interventionist Constitutional Reforms Unlikely To Deter Foreign Investment in Mexico 

Media

Podcasts

What levels of unrest are we likely to see throughout 2024 and beyond?

Essential Geopolitics: The Risk of U.S. Political Unrest Leading up to Elections

Aging workforces are slowing growth and raising public debt in advanced economies, while rapid labor force growth and high youth unemployment are creating significant economic challenges for developing countries.

The Economic Implications of Shifting Global Demographics

Social Issues

SITUATION REPORTS

Colombia: Public Consultation Proposal on Reform Agenda to Fuel Polarization

China: Dalai Lama Says Successor to be Born Outside of China

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Cuts Electricity to Gaza

U.S.: FTC Launches Tech Censorship Inquiry

Australia: Mining Magnate Launches Potential Spoiler, Trump-Inspired Party Before Elections

Pakistan: Pakistan's Military Court Sentences 60 More Civilians to Prison Terms of up to 10 Years

Pakistan: U.S., U.K. and EU Raise Concerns Over Pakistan's Military Court Sentencing of Civilians

Ghana: Supreme Court Dismisses Legal Challenges Against Anti-LGBTQ+ Bill

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