The deployment of Egyptian troops to eastern Libya would raise the risk of a confrontation with rival Turkish forces, thus drawing Cairo deeper into Libya's increasingly insoluble civil war.
By Matthew Bey
Damascus is likely to consolidate power within loyalist territories before renewing efforts to eliminate Turkish and American influence.
By Ryan Bohl
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.
Ankara's operations against Kurdish militants have shown its willingness to encroach on Iraqi territory, even if it means jeopardizing its ties with Baghdad.
If the GNA does push deep into central and eastern Libya, it risks prompting its rival’s main foreign backers into deepening their involvement in the conflict.
To bolster what remains of its legitimacy, President Erdogan’s party will likely double down on nationalist and protectionist policies, even if such efforts create more problems down the road.
By Ryan Bohl
If Turkey continues allowing migrants to flood its border, Greece could again become the epicenter of Europe's next migration crisis. But this time, there will be even fewer EU countries willing to help lift the load.
Even as the agreement with Moscow sets up the Syrian government for its next offensive in Idlib province, Ankara can claim the deal as a diplomatic success, albeit a limited one.
In this episode of Stratfor's Essential Geopolitics podcast, Stratfor analysts Ryan Bohl and Sim Tack discuss the Syrian government's offensive against rebel forces in Idlib province, a military action carrying significant risks for Turkey and Russia
For now, there is little to indicate that Ankara will get what it needs to stop the Russian-supported Syrian government's offensive in Idlib province and preserve its influence there.
By Ryan Bohl
