Frequent Stratfor Contributor Sinan Ciddi takes a look at the strategies President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has pursued to manage his country's domestic political and economic situations -- and how they are affecting its foreign relationships.
With the West withholding arms sales to Turkey over its offensive in northeastern Syria, Ankara is turning to others -- and itself -- to keep its military supplied.
Moscow and Ankara are most pleased by their new deal on northern Syria; the rest of the area's actors aren't.
With new U.S. sanctions against Turkey a strong possibility, Ankara will be preparing a response that might be bad news for American businesses operating in the country.
Washington and Ankara's deal to temporarily halt the fighting in northeastern Syria provides more questions than answers, suggesting the truce is unlikely to endure.
With Washington's hasty retreat from northern Syria upending the regional balance, Turkish and Syrian forces could soon come to blows.
Ankara has long sought to establish a buffer zone to protect Turkey from the effects of the Syrian civil war, but as the Turkish government finally gets closer to getting what it wants, its aspirations will crash into geopolitical reality.
The U.S. Congress and the European Union are threatening to punish Ankara for its military operation against the Kurds in northeastern Syria. It's a price Turkey appears willing to pay.
Ankara wants to accomplish its objectives before Kurdish-led forces can shore up their resistance and to minimize the international backlash that's already building.
Ankara appears to have decided that the benefits of invading northeastern Syria will be worth risking a heavy U.S. sanctions blow.
