2018 Second-Quarter Forecast

Eurasia

Eurasia is the world’s most expansive region. It connects the East to the West, forming a land bridge that borders Europe, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and South Asia. Forming the borders of this massive tract of land are the Northern European Plain, the Carpathian Mountains, the Southern Caucasus Mountains, the Tien Shan Mountains and Siberia. At the heart of Eurasia is Russia, a country that throughout history has tried, to varying degrees of success, to extend its influence to Eurasia’s farthest reaches — a strategy meant to insulate it from outside powers. But this strategy necessarily creates conflict throughout Russia’s borderlands, putting Eurasia a near constant state of instability.

Mar 9, 2018 | 17:39 GMT
Eurasia connects the East to the West, forming a land bridge that borders Europe, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and South Asia.

Eurasia connects the East to the West, forming a land bridge that borders Europe, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and South Asia.

(YURI KADOBNOV/AFP/Getty Images)
section Highlights
  • As the standoff between Russia and the West drags on, the United States will expand limited sanctions against Moscow, which, in turn, will seek increased investment from partners in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific to cushion the blow.
  • The Kremlin will pursue social and economic reforms at home to try to revive the Russian economy and curb protests, while a political reshuffle and restructuring of the security services will shake up the balance of power in Moscow.
  • Diplomatic discussions between Russia and the West over a U.N. peacekeeping mission to eastern Ukraine will intensify this quarter, but probably will not yield a deployment.
  • The countries of Central Asia will increasingly coordinate with one another -- as well as with Russia and China -- to combat militancy and terrorism in the region.
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