ASSESSMENTS

Israel: An Airstrike at the Syria-Lebanon Border

Jan 30, 2013 | 17:43 GMT

Israel: An Airstrike at the Syria-Lebanon Border
An Israeli F-15 fighter jet takes off on Nov. 19, 2012, for a mission over the Gaza Strip

JACK GUEZ/AFP/Getty Images

Summary

Israel's strategic environment has changed since the beginning of the Syrian uprising. Instability now exists on all its borders, and Israel has behaved accordingly. On Jan. 30, the Israeli air force bombed a Lebanon-bound convoy from Syria. Two days earlier, Israel Defense Forces deployed two Iron Dome batteries to the northern part of the country. Recent diplomatic activity likewise suggests that Israel now feels threatened on its northern border.

Historically, Israel has undertaken pre-emptive military action when it has felt threatened. Famous examples include strikes on nuclear facilities in Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2007. More recently in October 2012, Israel allegedly bombed a Sudanese arms factory believed to be supplying weapons to militants in Gaza. Israel's target in the airstrike remains unconfirmed — unnamed security officials claim the convoy carried Russian SA-17 anti-aircraft missiles — but the incident nonetheless shows that Syria's situation has deteriorated enough to merit military action. 

The country faces a relatively new threat: instability on all its borders....

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