As China's economy moves beyond the low-end manufacturing and export-led model that defined its dramatic three-decade rise, a new group of countries is emerging to assume that role in the global economy. The outlines of this group, what Stratfor calls the Post-China 16, or "PC16," are only now coming into focus. This group includes Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda from sub-Saharan Africa; Indonesia, Myanmar, Cambodia, Laos, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Vietnam from Asia; and the Dominican Republic, Mexico, Nicaragua and Peru from the Americas.
While no one country can replace China, these 16 have the combined potential to absorb manufacturing that would have gone directly to China in the past decade. This graphic provides an brief overview of China's potential successors.
For more information on purchasing the full PC16 report, which assesses each member of the group, and for details on custom briefings and analysis for your organization, click here.
