ASSESSMENTS

Russia Tries to Manage Chechnya's Ambitions

Sep 17, 2012 | 10:30 GMT

Russia Tries to Manage Chechnya's Ambitions
Chechnyan leader Ramzan Kadyrov (R) and Russian Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev in Tsentoroi, Chechnya on June 19

DMITRY ASTAKHOV/AFP/GettyImages

Summary

Tensions are rising between the Russian North Caucasus republics of Chechnya and Ingushetia once again. Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov appears to be attempting to retake lands in Ingushetia — enough area that Chechnya would nearly swallow the neighboring republic — in the coming months. The Kremlin does not want to see the powerful Chechen regime strengthen further, because Kadyrov has proved to be unwieldy in the past. However, the Kremlin will not attempt to upset Kadyrov, one of the most important elements of stability in the Caucasus — particularly with the Olympics to be held in Sochi in a year and a half.

A new escalation in tensions between Chechnya and Ingushetia poses political and security challenges for Moscow....

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