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On Geopolitics

U.S. President Joe Biden gestures to reporters after landing on the South Lawn of the White House on Sept. 22, 2024, in Washington, D.C.
On GeopoliticsJan 15, 2025
Trump's Asia-Pacific Approach Will Test Biden's Gains

Trump's more aggressive and transactional approach could deliver quick wins for the U.S.'s position in the region, though it could also strain ties with key partners.

By Nate Fischler
A compressor gas station of the Yamal–Europe pipeline is seen on Feb. 19, 2022, in Wloclawek, Poland.
On GeopoliticsJan 10, 2025
The End of Russian Gas via Ukraine Cements Europe's New Energy Landscape

The expiration of the Russia-Ukraine transit deal underscores Europe's ongoing efforts to sever its reliance on Russian resources, with far-reaching implications for energy markets and geopolitics in the region and beyond.

By Matteo Ilardo
Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags.
On GeopoliticsJan 3, 2025
Grading Our 2024 Annual Forecast

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our hits and misses in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

By Amelia Harnagel
On GeopoliticsDec 23, 2024
Previewing Trump's Tech Policies
By Hayley Benedict
Rebel fighters celebrate in the streets of Homs, Syria, in the early hours of Dec. 8, 2024, after seizing control of the city.
On GeopoliticsDec 11, 2024
Syria Sets Out Toward a New and Uncertain Future
By Ryan Bohl
South Korean marines participate in joint exercises with U.S. forces Sept. 2 in Pohang, South Korea.
On GeopoliticsNov 29, 2024
Demographic Decline and Military Manpower: Understanding the Shifting Role of People in Conflict

Japan and South Korea set the blueprint for how militaries must contend with stiff competition for human resources.

People walk by destroyed houses in Pokrovsk, Ukraine, on Nov. 16, 2024.
On GeopoliticsNov 21, 2024
The Growing Prospect of a Cease-Fire in Ukraine
By Adriano Bosoni
An Israeli police officer stands near the remains of an Iranian missile on Oct. 2, 2024, near the Dead Sea, Israel.
On GeopoliticsNov 13, 2024
How the Israel-Iran Conflict May Play Out With a Trump Presidency

In gauging how the conflict will evolve, much will depend on the level of Trump's support for Israel and hostility toward Iran.

By Ryan Bohl
On April 16, 2024, 155mm caliber shells are shown after manufacturing, ready for shipment at the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant (SCAAP) in Scranton, Pennsylvania.
On GeopoliticsNov 12, 2024
Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: The Narrowing Path to a Ukrainian Victory

Trump's return to the White House and North Korean support for Russia have shifted the conflict's dynamics, likely portending a further weakened position for Kyiv.

By Matthew Orr
3D illustration of two folders and a rubber stamp with the word "declassified" printed on a document.
On GeopoliticsNov 8, 2024
Declassified: The Future of U.S. 'Intelligence Diplomacy'

The outgoing U.S. Biden administration's liberal use of "intelligence diplomacy" as a tool of foreign policy raises questions about how the incoming Trump administration will take up the torch.

People watch a television screen showing a news broadcast with file footage of North Korea's artillery firing, at a railway station in Seoul on Jan. 6, 2024.
On GeopoliticsOct 30, 2024
The Rising Risk of Military Clashes on the Korean Peninsula

With both sides threatening overwhelming retaliation and having greater capabilities to make good on those threats, provocations along the North-South border now carry a greater risk of erupting into military clashes.

By Chase Blazek
The French and German Flags
On GeopoliticsOct 24, 2024
French and German Struggles Leave the EU Adrift
By Adriano Bosoni
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