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On Geopolitics

An F-35C Lightning launches Jan. 6, 2022, off the flight deck of Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson.
On GeopoliticsApr 3, 2024
The Ongoing Rise of U.S. Debt Amid Geopolitical, Financial and Economic Constraints

Political, financial and economic constraints will continue to limit the U.S. government's flexibility in adjusting spending, resulting in an ongoing rise in federal debt.

Ultra-Orthodox Jews visit Israeli army soldiers to show their support as they deploy at a position near the border with Gaza in southern Israel on Oct. 11, 2023.
On GeopoliticsMar 19, 2024
In Israel, Wartime Realities Renew Scrutiny Over Ultra-Orthodox Military Exemptions

Whether Israel finally scraps its controversial draft exemption for ultra-Orthodox Jews will hinge largely on the evolution of the country's relationship with its neighbors and rivals in the years ahead.

By Ryan Bohl
Ukrainian anti-aircraft gunners fire in the direction of Bakhmut in the Donetsk region on Feb. 20, 2024.
On GeopoliticsFeb 23, 2024
The Ukraine War's Impact on Russia, Two Years On

The second anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Putin's upcoming address to the nation offer an ideal occasion to again consider how Russia has and will continue to change as a result of the war.

By Matthew Orr
On GeopoliticsFeb 15, 2024
Can Globalization Survive in an Increasingly Fragmented World?
By Adriano Bosoni
A Palestinian demonstrator waves a flag during confrontations with Israeli troops Jan. 6, 2023, in the West Bank village of Kfar Qaddum, near the Jewish settlement of Kedumim.
On GeopoliticsFeb 8, 2024
The Distant Prospect of a Palestinian State
By Ryan Bohl
A heavy-lift helicopter operated by the U.S. military flies over a tank in Setermoen, Norway, during a military exercise involving NATO troops and partner countries on March 22, 2022.
On GeopoliticsFeb 6, 2024
The Significance of U.S. Defense Cooperation Agreements in Northern Europe

The U.S.'s new pacts with Sweden, Finland and Denmark signal its intent to play a key role in transforming NATO's approach to securing its northern flank against Russia.

By Matteo Ilardo
Ukrainian servicemen fire with a 105mm howitzer toward Russian positions near the city of Bakhmut on March 8, 2023, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
On GeopoliticsFeb 2, 2024
Bracing for a Protracted War in Ukraine: Ukraine's Challenge in 2024 and Beyond
By Matthew Orr
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visits the Vostochny Cosmodrome, a spaceport in Russia's Far East, on Sept. 13, 2023.
On GeopoliticsJan 9, 2024
North Korea's Foreign Affairs Hit an Inflection Point

Kim Jong Un appears to be setting a new direction for his country's regional and international policies, clearly aware of the vast uncertainties facing the global geopolitical situation.

By Rodger Baker
On GeopoliticsJan 2, 2024
Grading Our 2023 Annual Forecast

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our successes and slip-ups in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

By Amelia Harnagel
Palestinian Hamas militants are seen during a military show in Gaza City, Gaza, on July 20, 2017.
On GeopoliticsDec 27, 2023
The Future of Hamas Without Gaza

Without a central geography to anchor the group, there may be deepening rifts between Hamas' Doha-based politicians, its surviving militants in the West Bank and Gaza, and its fighters in Syria and Lebanon.

By Ryan Bohl
Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang (3rd from right), Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store (4th from left) and members of their delegations meet in Oslo, Norway, on May 12, 2023.
On GeopoliticsDec 25, 2023
In the Arctic, Russia's Geopolitical Isolation Opens New Doors for China

As the Arctic Council leadership transfers from Russia to Norway, China is positioning itself to play a greater role in Arctic matters.

By Rodger Baker
Demonstrators hold Spanish flags during a protest called by the country’s far-right Vox party in Madrid, Spain, on Nov. 12, 2023.
On GeopoliticsDec 7, 2023
In Europe, Far-Right Parties Are Again on the Rise
By Matteo Ilardo
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