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A person holds a smartphone showing an interface introducing OpenAI's new GPT-5 model in the ChatGPT app in front of a blurred OpenAI logo on Aug. 9, 2025, in Chongqing, China.
On GeopoliticsAug 18, 2025
GPT-5 and the Evolution of AI

Despite users' disappointment with the lack of conversational improvements, GPT-5 signifies a shift in AI development from basic chatbots to more advanced agentic systems, capable of complex, multi-step tasks.

By Matthew Bey
Shipping containers are offloaded from a vessel at Berbera Port in Somaliland on Aug. 31, 2021.
On GeopoliticsAug 13, 2025
The UAE's Long Game in East Africa

The UAE is expanding its influence across East Africa through large-scale investments and security partnerships, aiming to consolidate its status as a global trade hub and counter regional competitors, at the risk of entangling regional states in broader geopolitical contests.

By Rémi Dodd
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters near Air Force One at the airport in Allentown, Pennsylvania, on Aug. 3, 2025. Trump answered questions about his upcoming meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, among other topics.
On GeopoliticsAug 12, 2025
Can Trump Reset U.S.-Russia Relations?

While the Trump administration's outreach to Russia may yield limited cooperation, a comprehensive ''reset'' is unlikely for the foreseeable future due to Moscow and Washington's diverging strategic interests.

By Sam Lichtenstein
U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin pose ahead of a meeting in Helsinki, Finland, on July 16, 2018.
On GeopoliticsAug 11, 2025
Putin-Trump Summit: The Risks for Ukraine
By Adriano Bosoni
A view in Rostock, Germany, of the first exit of warships for the NATO exercise BALTOPS in the Baltic Sea on June 5, 2025.
On GeopoliticsAug 1, 2025
Baltic on the Brink: The New Flashpoint in Europe's Confrontation With Russia
By Matteo Ilardo
U.S. Army soldiers prepare to go out on patrol from a remote combat outpost in northeastern Syria on May 25, 2021.
On GeopoliticsJul 17, 2025
In Post-Assad Syria, the U.S. Struggles to Find a New Strategy

The U.S. is shifting its Syria strategy from isolation to limited engagement to stabilize the country and protect American interests there, but Turkey and Israel's competing influence campaigns could complicate Washington's approach.

By Ryan Bohl
Vehicles drive along a main thoroughfare past a billboard that reads in Farsi and Hebrew: "A severe blow... The vile and villainous Zionist regime (Israel) has made a grave mistake,” in central Tehran on June 24, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 16, 2025
Assessing the Regional Impact of the Israel-Iran War, Part 2
By Freddy Khoueiry
U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to speak during a rally at a steel plant in West Mifflin, Pennsylvania, on May 30, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 9, 2025
A Look at Trump's Evolving Tariff Strategy

For the rest of his term, Trump will continue to use tariffs to secure foreign policy concessions on both trade and non-trade matters, even if he starts shifting away from broad, global tariff threats to ones focused on specific countries or goods.

By Matthew Bey
An Iranian flag is draped from a building damaged during a recent attack by Israel is seen in the Gisha neighborhood of Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 7, 2025
The Impact of the 12-Day War on Iran and Its Allies, Part 1

The brief war with Israel has significantly weakened Iran's regional influence and military capabilities, forcing it and the members of its Axis of Resistance to recalibrate their strategies and focus on recovery.

By Freddy Khoueiry
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei addresses the nation in a state television broadcast on June 18, 2025, in Tehran, Iran.
On GeopoliticsJun 20, 2025
Assessing the Potential for Regime Change in Iran

While Israel's airstrikes appear aimed at destabilizing the country, they are alone unlikely to collapse the Islamic Republic, as Iranian leaders would probably make significant concessions to ensure the regime's survival rather than let it fall.

By Matthew Bey
An Israeli tank rolls along the fence on the border with the Gaza Strip on June 4, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJun 17, 2025
Is Gaza Destined for Another Israeli Occupation?

Uncertainty regarding who will govern post-war Gaza and fund its reconstruction increases the likelihood of a prolonged Israeli occupation that would empower Israel's far-right to push for annexation and more extensive population displacement.

By Kristin Ronzi
U.S. President Donald Trump (right) interacts with Oman Deputy Prime Minister Sayyid Asaad (second from right) as they prepare to pose for photos with leaders during the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Leaders' Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on May 14, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJun 5, 2025
Is the Era of U.S. Interventionism in the Middle East Over?
By Ryan Bohl
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