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On Geopolitics

A mosque in March 2025 in Herat, Afghanistan.
On GeopoliticsSep 16, 2025
The Future of Islamism in the Middle East

Whether Islamism revives as in the Levant, evolves pragmatically through parties with Islamic values as in Turkey, or changes beyond all recognition remains up in the air.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva on Sept. 7 in Brasilia, Brazil.
On GeopoliticsSep 15, 2025
Lula's Old Playbook Meets a New Political Reality

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's failure to acknowledge changes in Brazilian society and power dynamics is making it difficult for him to resonate with voters.

A portrait of former U.S. President Ronald Reagan is seen in the background as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on April 22, 2025.
On GeopoliticsSep 3, 2025
The Visible Hand: Trump's Interventionism Reshapes American Capitalism

In just seven months in office, the Trump administration has pursued a series of highly unconventional economic policies that, taken together, amount to the deepest government interventionism into the U.S. economy of any president since the Reagan era.

A person holds a smartphone showing an interface introducing OpenAI's new GPT-5 model in the ChatGPT app in front of a blurred OpenAI logo on Aug. 9, 2025, in Chongqing, China.
On GeopoliticsAug 18, 2025
GPT-5 and the Evolution of AI
Shipping containers are offloaded from a vessel at Berbera Port in Somaliland on Aug. 31, 2021.
On GeopoliticsAug 13, 2025
The UAE's Long Game in East Africa
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters near Air Force One at the airport in Allentown, Pennsylvania, on Aug. 3, 2025. Trump answered questions about his upcoming meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, among other topics.
On GeopoliticsAug 12, 2025
Can Trump Reset U.S.-Russia Relations?

While the Trump administration's outreach to Russia may yield limited cooperation, a comprehensive ''reset'' is unlikely for the foreseeable future due to Moscow and Washington's diverging strategic interests.

U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin pose ahead of a meeting in Helsinki, Finland, on July 16, 2018.
On GeopoliticsAug 11, 2025
Putin-Trump Summit: The Risks for Ukraine
A view in Rostock, Germany, of the first exit of warships for the NATO exercise BALTOPS in the Baltic Sea on June 5, 2025.
On GeopoliticsAug 1, 2025
Baltic on the Brink: The New Flashpoint in Europe's Confrontation With Russia

In response to Russian aggression, NATO is seeking to establish strategic control over the Baltic Sea via rearmament and more assertive posturing, creating an environment where the risk of miscalculation grows exponentially.

U.S. Army soldiers prepare to go out on patrol from a remote combat outpost in northeastern Syria on May 25, 2021.
On GeopoliticsJul 17, 2025
In Post-Assad Syria, the U.S. Struggles to Find a New Strategy

The U.S. is shifting its Syria strategy from isolation to limited engagement to stabilize the country and protect American interests there, but Turkey and Israel's competing influence campaigns could complicate Washington's approach.

Vehicles drive along a main thoroughfare past a billboard that reads in Farsi and Hebrew: "A severe blow... The vile and villainous Zionist regime (Israel) has made a grave mistake,” in central Tehran on June 24, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 16, 2025
Assessing the Regional Impact of the Israel-Iran War, Part 2

The war has weakened Iran, but has also shifted regional perceptions of Israel as a destabilizing force, prompting Gulf states to reassess alliances, Turkey to emerge as a rival, and raising the risk of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East.

U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to speak during a rally at a steel plant in West Mifflin, Pennsylvania, on May 30, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 9, 2025
A Look at Trump's Evolving Tariff Strategy

For the rest of his term, Trump will continue to use tariffs to secure foreign policy concessions on both trade and non-trade matters, even if he starts shifting away from broad, global tariff threats to ones focused on specific countries or goods.

An Iranian flag is draped from a building damaged during a recent attack by Israel is seen in the Gisha neighborhood of Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025.
On GeopoliticsJul 7, 2025
The Impact of the 12-Day War on Iran and Its Allies, Part 1
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