Assessments

El Salvador

Guatemala

Honduras

United States

Juan Orlando Hernandez, the former president of Honduras, is seen handcuffed at the headquarters of the country’s police force in Tegucigalpa on Feb. 15, 2022. He was arrested after receiving an extradition order from the United States. 

Politics

Military & Security

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The arrest of the Central American country’s former president over bribery charges marks a notable step in U.S. efforts to reduce migration flows from the region.

Biden’s Anti-Corruption Push Makes Headway in Honduras

Security

Security Challenges in Latin America

Guidance

Senegal

Italy

Ukraine

Russia

U.S . of State Antony Blinken (L) and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov ahead of their Jan. 21 meeting in Geneva. Following their meeting, Lavrov said the United States had promised to provide a written response to Russia's proposal on security guarantees in Europe by Jan. 30.

Economics

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Russia Awaits a Written U.S. Response, the Federal Open Market Committee Meets

Snapshots

Honduran presidential candidate Xiomara Castro (third from right) speaks at a press conference on Nov. 28, 2021, in Tegucigalpa, Honduras. 

A self-described democratic socialist, Castro will likely struggle to pass domestic reforms. But she could switch the country’s diplomatic allegiance from Taiwan to China.

What Will and Won't Change Under Honduras' New President

China

Taiwan

Germany

Kyrgyzstan

Iran

Leading members of the German Social Democrats, the Greens Party and the German Free Democrats arrive to present their mutually-agreed on coalition contract on November 24, 2021 in Berlin. If the parties' members approve the agreement, the Bundestag is likely to hold a vote to appoint SPD leader Olaf Scholz as chancellor the week of Dec. 6.

The Weekly Rundown: Germany's Coalition Moves Forward, JCPOA Talks Resume

U.S.-Iran Relations

Americas

Haiti

Mexico

Palestinian Territories

Environment, Science & Technology

As the pandemic leaves more migrants out of work and unable to send money back home, many developing countries that rely on those cash inflows can expect major recessions and increased instability.

COVID-19 Will Cause Global Poverty to Spike

Agriculture

COVID-19

2020 Second-Quarter Forecast

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world &mdash; an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.

2020 Annual Forecast

2019 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Central American migrants, mostly from Honduras, climb over a barrier as they try to reach the U.S.-Mexico border on Nov. 25, 2018, near the El Chaparral border crossing in Tijuana, Baja California State, Mexico. The number of Hondurans seeking asylum or employment in the United States will likely remain stubbornly high amid persistent political and economic instability there.

Social Issues

The Importance of Mexico

Crossing Borders

The Honduran left's electoral strategy will create greater conflict over immigration between Mexico and the United States.

As Honduran Unrest Flares, So Will Immigration to the United States

Global Perspectives

Contributor Perspectives

A military police checkpoint in November 2017 in San Pedro Sula, Honduras. 

Stratfor Threat Lens

The region's geography enables the extreme violence of the country's homicide highways.

Crime in Honduras: A Product of Geography

2019 Third-Quarter Forecast

A tire fire burns at the doors to the outer entrance of the U.S. Embassy in Tegucigalpa on May 31, 2019. Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico. 

Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico.

In Honduras, a Political Crisis Could Fuel Migration

Argentina

Belize

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Cuba

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Venezuela

The leaders of Argentina, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Honduras, Mexico, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Venezuela met virtually and agreed to take steps to facilitate commercial trade, La Jornada reported April 5.

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Honduran President Xiomara Castro announced that the government will seek to establish diplomatic relations with China, implying that the Central American country would drop its diplomatic recognition of Taiwan, El Mundo reported on March 14.

Honduras: Government Announces Intent to Switch Diplomatic Allegiance to China

Honduran President Xiomara Castro signed a preliminary agreement to install a United Nations-backed anti-corruption commission in Honduras, El Heraldo reported Dec. 15.

Honduras: Government Signed Preliminary Agreement on Anti-Corruption Commission

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris announced an additional $1.9 billion in private-sector investment pledges in Central America, with a focus on the Northern Triangle countries of El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala, Reuters reported June 6.

U.S., Central America: White House Announced $1.9 Billion Private Sector Investment

Honduras' National Congress unanimously repealed a law that had enabled the creation of new special economic zones known by the acronym ZEDEs, which exempt companies from some national laws and taxes for a set period of time, El Heraldo reported April 22.

Honduras: Congress Approves Repeal of Special Economic Zones

Honduran authorities suspended open-pit gold mining operations at the San Andres mine after the Canadian subsidiary, Minerales de Occidente Sociedad Anonima, was accused of illegally exhuming bodies at an Indigenous cemetery, Reuters reported March 30.

Honduras: Gold Mining Operations Suspended Near Indigenous Cemetery

Honduran Judge Edwin Ortez granted the extradition of former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez to the United States to face trial in the Southern District of New York for drug trafficking, El Heraldo reported March 15.

Honduras: Judge Approves Extradition of Former President to U.S.

The Honduran Congress unanimously repealed the Classification of Public Documents law on March 1, a move legislators say dismantles a tool that has been used to disguise acts of corruption within the government, Telesur reported March 2.

Honduras: Congress Repeals Secrecy Law to Combat Corruption and Impunity

Afghanistan

Algeria

Antigua and Barbuda

Luxembourg

South Sudan

A view of the Register in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

Angola

Armenia

Australia

Bahrain

Lithuania

Covering an area that spans the entire width of the continent beginning at the Sahara Desert and ending at the southernmost tip of South Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa is home to countless cultures, languages, religions, plants, animals and natural resources.

Barbados

Benin

Egypt

Maldives

Malta

Botswana

Brunei Darussalam

India

North Macedonia

Tajikistan

Bhutan

Burkina Faso

Cambodia

Iraq

The President palace in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan

The administrative center of the Gakh region of Azerbaijan, located at the foot of the southern slope of the Greater Caucasus, on the river Kurhumchai.

Burundi

Finland

Israel

Nepal

Cameroon

Canada

Georgia

Jordan

Pakistan

Mir Castle in the Minsk region of Belarus.

Cabo Verde

Federated States of Micronesia

Kuwait

Liechtenstein

Sri Lanka

Central African Republic

Fiji

Latvia

Lebanon

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Chad

Costa Rica

Indonesia

Libya

Comoros

Czech Republic

Japan

A horse grazes in front of Kara-Kul lake in the Chon-Ak-Suu valley, 300 kilometers southeast of Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan.

Morocco

Cote d'Ivoire

Denmark

Dominica

Kiribati

Moldova

Oman

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Dominican Republic

Laos

Djibouti

Ecuador

Holy See (Vatican City)

Malaysia

Qatar

Equatorial Guinea

Greece

Marshall Islands

Saudi Arabia

Eritrea

France

Grenada

Mongolia

Female

Male

The United Nations confirmed Honduran President Xiomara Castro's request to install the International Commission Against Impunity (known by its Spanish acronym CICIH) in her administration's framework to fight against corruption, Telesur reported Feb. 26.

Honduras: Government to Install International Commission Against Impunity

SITUATION REPORTS

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Honduras: Government Announces Intent to Switch Diplomatic Allegiance to China

Honduras: Government Signed Preliminary Agreement on Anti-Corruption Commission

U.S., Central America: White House Announced $1.9 Billion Private Sector Investment

Honduras: Congress Approves Repeal of Special Economic Zones

Honduras: Gold Mining Operations Suspended Near Indigenous Cemetery

Honduras: Judge Approves Extradition of Former President to U.S.

Honduras: Congress Repeals Secrecy Law to Combat Corruption and Impunity

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