Honduras

Economics

Military & Security

Politics

A Honduran judge issued an arrest warrant for the leader of the opposition National Party, David Chavez Madison, a few hours after Chavez attempted to fly to the United States and fled an international airport, Infobae reported on Nov. 28.

Honduras: Arrest Warrant Issued for Leader of Opposition Party

A committee of ruling party lawmakers in Colombia unanimously appointed Johel Zelaya as interim attorney general on Nov. 1 at a time when the country's legislature is in recess, sparking an outcry from the political opposition, Reuters reported the same day.

Honduras: Permanent Commission Elects Interim Prosecutor, Angering the Opposition

China

Taiwan

Honduras' Port National Company, better know by its Spanish acronym ENP, signed an agreement with China Harbour Engineering Co. to construct two bridges, refurbish the San Lorenzo port on the Pacific coast and widen a 50 kilometer (31 mile) stretch of highway, BNamericas reported on May 30.

Honduras: Chinese Investment Highlights Advantages of Dropping Recognition of Taiwan

Argentina

Belize

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Cuba

Mexico

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Venezuela

The leaders of Argentina, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Honduras, Mexico, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and Venezuela met virtually and agreed to take steps to facilitate commercial trade, La Jornada reported April 5.

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Honduran President Xiomara Castro announced that the government will seek to establish diplomatic relations with China, implying that the Central American country would drop its diplomatic recognition of Taiwan, El Mundo reported on March 14.

Honduras: Government Announces Intent to Switch Diplomatic Allegiance to China

Honduran President Xiomara Castro signed a preliminary agreement to install a United Nations-backed anti-corruption commission in Honduras, El Heraldo reported Dec. 15.

Honduras: Government Signed Preliminary Agreement on Anti-Corruption Commission

El Salvador

Guatemala

United States

Social Issues

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

Crossing Borders

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris announced an additional $1.9 billion in private-sector investment pledges in Central America, with a focus on the Northern Triangle countries of El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala, Reuters reported June 6.

U.S., Central America: White House Announced $1.9 Billion Private Sector Investment

Honduras' National Congress unanimously repealed a law that had enabled the creation of new special economic zones known by the acronym ZEDEs, which exempt companies from some national laws and taxes for a set period of time, El Heraldo reported April 22.

Honduras: Congress Approves Repeal of Special Economic Zones

Assessments

Ecuador

Peru

Soldiers conduct a patrol on July 22, 2023, in the Salvadorean municipality of Colon, where the MS-13 gang reportedly remains active. 

The success of El Salvador's counter-crime state of emergency in reducing the country's homicide rate will be hard to replicate, despite the efforts of nearby countries.

The Appeal (and Perils) of Crime Crackdowns in Latin America, Part 1

Juan Orlando Hernandez, the former president of Honduras, is seen handcuffed at the headquarters of the country’s police force in Tegucigalpa on Feb. 15, 2022. He was arrested after receiving an extradition order from the United States. 

Security

Security Challenges in Latin America

The arrest of the Central American country’s former president over bribery charges marks a notable step in U.S. efforts to reduce migration flows from the region.

Biden’s Anti-Corruption Push Makes Headway in Honduras

Guidance

Senegal

Italy

Ukraine

Russia

U.S . of State Antony Blinken (L) and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov ahead of their Jan. 21 meeting in Geneva. Following their meeting, Lavrov said the United States had promised to provide a written response to Russia's proposal on security guarantees in Europe by Jan. 30.

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Russia Awaits a Written U.S. Response, the Federal Open Market Committee Meets

Snapshots

Honduran presidential candidate Xiomara Castro (third from right) speaks at a press conference on Nov. 28, 2021, in Tegucigalpa, Honduras. 

A self-described democratic socialist, Castro will likely struggle to pass domestic reforms. But she could switch the country’s diplomatic allegiance from Taiwan to China.

What Will and Won't Change Under Honduras' New President

Germany

Kyrgyzstan

Iran

Leading members of the German Social Democrats, the Greens Party and the German Free Democrats arrive to present their mutually-agreed on coalition contract on November 24, 2021 in Berlin. If the parties' members approve the agreement, the Bundestag is likely to hold a vote to appoint SPD leader Olaf Scholz as chancellor the week of Dec. 6.

U.S.-Iran Relations

The Weekly Rundown: Germany's Coalition Moves Forward, JCPOA Talks Resume

Americas

Haiti

Palestinian Territories

Agriculture

COVID-19

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

As the pandemic leaves more migrants out of work and unable to send money back home, many developing countries that rely on those cash inflows can expect major recessions and increased instability.

COVID-19 Will Cause Global Poverty to Spike

Central American migrants, mostly from Honduras, climb over a barrier as they try to reach the U.S.-Mexico border on Nov. 25, 2018, near the El Chaparral border crossing in Tijuana, Baja California State, Mexico. The number of Hondurans seeking asylum or employment in the United States will likely remain stubbornly high amid persistent political and economic instability there.

The Importance of Mexico

The Honduran left's electoral strategy will create greater conflict over immigration between Mexico and the United States.

As Honduran Unrest Flares, So Will Immigration to the United States

Global Perspectives

Contributor Perspectives

A military police checkpoint in November 2017 in San Pedro Sula, Honduras. 

The region's geography enables the extreme violence of the country's homicide highways.

Crime in Honduras: A Product of Geography

Stratfor Threat Lens

A tire fire burns at the doors to the outer entrance of the U.S. Embassy in Tegucigalpa on May 31, 2019. Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico. 

Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico.

In Honduras, a Political Crisis Could Fuel Migration

Blocking or limiting the money migrant workers send home is one measure the Trump administration is considering implementing to try to deter illegal immigration.

In its attempt to stem the influx of Central American migrants ahead of the 2020 election, the Trump administration could end up driving even more migrants to the country's doorstep.

Trump's Latest Proposal to Deter Migrants Risks Doing the Opposite

A column of Central American migrants near Huixtla in the Mexican state of Chiapas head toward the United States more than 1,000 miles away on Oct. 24. U.S. President Donald Trump has seized on the migrant caravan to rally his political base ahead of midterm elections on Nov. 6, but the caravan's significance goes beyond the U.S. debate over illegal immigration.

Cutting U.S. assistance to Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador -- as President Donald Trump has threatened to do -- could prompt the three countries to seek more aid from China.

Why the Central American Migrant Caravan Matters

Nicaragua

Widespread protests in Nicaragua are challenging the foundations of President Daniel Ortega's government. If he falls, the demonstrations could ignite unrest in neighboring Honduras and Guatemala.

President Daniel Ortega is battling to save his government in Managua as public anger grows. But if he falls, the knock-on effect is unlikely to stop at Nicaragua's borders.

How Nicaragua's Protests Could Spread Elsewhere in Central America

SITUATION REPORTS

Honduras: Arrest Warrant Issued for Leader of Opposition Party

Honduras: Permanent Commission Elects Interim Prosecutor, Angering the Opposition

Honduras: Chinese Investment Highlights Advantages of Dropping Recognition of Taiwan

Latin America: Left-Wing Governments Ally to Reduce Food Inflation

Honduras: Government Announces Intent to Switch Diplomatic Allegiance to China

Honduras: Government Signed Preliminary Agreement on Anti-Corruption Commission

U.S., Central America: White House Announced $1.9 Billion Private Sector Investment

Honduras: Congress Approves Repeal of Special Economic Zones

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